Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Puzzle / Investigation
Puzzle + Investigation: a typical launch earns $1,253 in its first year
That is the median of 104 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 31 of 216 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 17.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 39% on the year before: 169 against 122.
- Price
- $1,253 median of 104 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −10.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 169 122 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 411 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,131 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.43%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.29% to 0.60% | 49 ranked of 411 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #546 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.65xhits against expected | 1.29x to 2.11x | 216 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #457 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +21%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −3% to +46% | 47 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #737 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +21%review growth against same-age games | +10% to +33% | 47 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #27 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 216
- Hit rate
- 14.4%9.1% to 20.4%
- Expected rate
- 8.2%
- Against expected
- 1.65x1.29x to 2.11x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
216 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $40
- Median
- $1,213
- Top tenth
- $154,215
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +39%
- Against Steam
- 0%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- PuzzleGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- InvestigationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Blue Prince (opens the Steam store)2025 · 17,606 reviews, 85% positiveest. $11M
- The Roottrees are Dead (opens the Steam store)2025 · 9,792 reviews, 96% positiveest. $3.3M
- Murders on the Yangtze River (opens the Steam store)2024 · 15,887 reviews, 96% positiveest. $2.9M
- The Operator (opens the Steam store)2024 · 8,526 reviews, 91% positiveest. $2.2M
- Enigma of Fear (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,095 reviews, 95% positiveest. $1.9M
- Escape Simulator 2 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,415 reviews, 91% positiveest. $1.7M
- The Séance of Blake Manor (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,736 reviews, 95% positiveest. $1.5M
- The Rise of the Golden Idol (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,797 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.5M
More with Puzzle
pairs with Puzzle- Puzzle + Open World$3,68033 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
- Metroidvania + Puzzle$2,32437 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Visual Novel$2,10397 launches priced, 167 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Story Rich$2,000292 launches priced, 408 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Co-op$1,92037 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Dark Humor$1,87830 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
More with Investigation
pairs with Investigation- Story Rich + Investigation$8,90370 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Investigation$4,88542 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- Point & Click + Investigation$4,85753 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months
- Detective + Investigation$3,96395 launches priced, 150 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Investigation$3,336112 launches priced, 171 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Investigation$2,89337 launches priced, 79 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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