Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Puzzle + Simulation
Puzzle + Simulation
Games tagged both Puzzle and Simulation: 566 indie paid launches, 18 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Puzzle + Simulation priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Puzzle and trails Simulation; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Puzzle + Simulation trails both its tags: 11.2 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.3 in 100 for Puzzle and 23.8 in 100 for Simulation.
That is about 0.6 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 89 games tagged both Puzzle and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 11.2 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.8 in 100 for Puzzle-only games and 25.2 in 100 for Simulation-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 89 games priced $10 to $20; 11.2 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 82 in 100 · $10k+ 46 in 100 · $100k+ 11 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 89 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Puzzle + Simulation is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view548 of 566 launches | Without the breakout565 of 566 launches | Last 18 months156 of 566 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 56618 hits | 54818 hits | 56517 hits | 1564 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 4 of 156too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $536top tenth $22,027+ | $552 | $536 | $737 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.3%0.1 more in 100 | -5.4%0.2 fewer in 100 | -19.4%0.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.0%$16 more | 0.0%no change | +37.5%$201 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Puzzle and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 566 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 18 of 566 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, shapez 2 - Factory (38.2% of the money): 565 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 156 of 566.
Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,055 of 5,256 launches | Without the breakout5,255 of 5,256 launches | Last 18 months1,493 of 5,256 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,256185 hits | 5,055174 hits | 5,255184 hits | 1,49359 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 28 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 4.0 in 1001 in 25 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $421top tenth $14,242+ | $428 | $421 | $428 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.5%no change | +12.3%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.7%$7 more | 0.0%no change | +1.7%$7 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,256 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 5,256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.4% of the money): 5,255 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,493 of 5,256.
Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,191 of 4,442 launches | Without the breakout4,441 of 4,442 launches | Last 18 months1,386 of 4,442 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,442408 hits | 4,191389 hits | 4,441407 hits | 1,386133 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 9.3 in 1001 in 11 | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 9.6 in 1001 in 10 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $929top tenth $86,074+ | $1,011 | $928 | $1,011 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.1%0.1 more in 100 | -0.2%no change | +4.5%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +8.8%$82 more | -0.1%$1 less | +8.8%$82 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,442 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,442 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.9% of the money): 4,441 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,386 of 4,442.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Puzzle + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.