Niche

PvP + Third-Person Shooter

Games tagged both PvP and Third-Person Shooter: 60 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing PvP + Third-Person Shooter priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with PvP and is about level with Third-Person Shooter; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with PvP and is too small to compare with Third-Person Shooter.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

PvP + Third-Person Shooter is too small to compare with PvP and is too small to compare with Third-Person Shooter: 5 of its 14 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.0 in 100 for PvP and 19.2 in 100 for Third-Person Shooter.

Small sample: 14 launches, 5 hits.

TIETied

Tag onemood tagPvP

14.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds14.0 in 100

Typical earnings$6,574

Launches178 / 25 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairPvP + Third-Person Shooter

5 of 14launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds5 of 14 launches

$1k+10 of 14 launches

$10k+6 of 14 launches

Launches14 / 5 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoThird-Person Shooter

19.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds19.2 in 100

Typical earnings$4,382

Launches104 / 20 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20PvP is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices60 in pair Under $531 in pair $5 to $1013 in pair $10 to $2014 in pair$20 to $402: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 14 games tagged both PvP and Third-Person Shooter priced $10 to $20. 5 of 14 of them earned $100k+, against 12.2 in 100 for PvP-only games and 16.7 in 100 for Third-Person Shooter-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with PvP alone and is too small to compare with Third-Person Shooter alone.

Both: 14 games priced $10 to $20; 5 of 14 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 10 of 14 launches · $10k+ 6 of 14 launches · $100k+ 5 of 14 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 14 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Gigantic: Rampage Editionleads this pair38.4%

PairGigantic: Rampage Edition38.4%

PvPSoulmask11.4%

Third-Person ShooterEscape From Duckov38.9%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads PvP + Third-Person Shooter

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Gigantic: Rampage Edition earned 38.4% of the estimated first-year money of the 60 PvP + Third-Person Shooter launches.
PvP is led by Soulmask, with 11.4% of its money.
Third-Person Shooter is led by Escape From Duckov, with 38.9% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

PvP + Third-Person Shooter holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

PvP + Third-Person Shooter through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view60 of 60 launches	Without the breakout59 of 60 launches	Last 18 months16 of 60 launches
Launches counted	605 hits	605 hits	594 hits	161 hits
Earned $100k+	8.3 in 1001 in 12	8.3 in 1001 in 12	4 of 59too few for a rate	1 of 16too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	12 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 30 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change	-18.6%1.6 fewer in 100	-25.0%2.1 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both PvP and Third-Person Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 60 launches.

Launches counted: 605 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Chance of $10k+: 12 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 30 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 60 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 605 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Gigantic: Rampage Edition (38.4% of the money): 59 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 594 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 59too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -18.6%1.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 16 of 60.

Launches counted: 161 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 16too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -25.0%2.1 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both PvP and Third-Person Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 60 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 60 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Gigantic: Rampage Edition (38.4% of the money): 59 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 16 of 60.

PvP is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

PvP through every lens, all prices
PvP	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,033 of 1,058 launches	Without the breakout1,057 of 1,058 launches	Last 18 months296 of 1,058 launches
Launches counted	1,05868 hits	1,03366 hits	1,05767 hits	29621 hits
Earned $100k+	6.4 in 1001 in 16	6.4 in 1001 in 16	6.3 in 1001 in 16	7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings	$488top tenth $36,673+	$488	$488	$643
Chance against standard	the base	-0.6%no change	-1.4%0.1 fewer in 100	+10.4%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	+31.8%$155 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged PvP, 12 to 36 months old: 1,058 launches.

Launches counted: 1,05868 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $488top tenth $36,673+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 1,058 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,03366 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $488
Chance against standard: -0.6%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Soulmask (11.4% of the money): 1,057 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,05767 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $488
Chance against standard: -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 296 of 1,058.

Launches counted: 29621 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $643
Chance against standard: +10.4%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standard: +31.8%$155 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged PvP, 12 to 36 months old: 1,058 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 1,058 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Soulmask (11.4% of the money): 1,057 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 296 of 1,058.

Third-Person Shooter is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Third-Person Shooter through every lens, all prices
Third-Person Shooter	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view509 of 533 launches	Without the breakout532 of 533 launches	Last 18 months130 of 533 launches
Launches counted	53334 hits	50930 hits	53233 hits	13010 hits
Earned $100k+	6.4 in 1001 in 16	5.9 in 1001 in 17	6.2 in 1001 in 16	7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings	$278top tenth $24,474+	$287	$278	$218
Chance against standard	the base	-7.6%0.5 fewer in 100	-2.8%0.2 fewer in 100	+20.6%1.3 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+3.2%$9 more	0.0%no change	-21.6%$60 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Moves the answer	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Third-Person Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 533 launches.

Launches counted: 53334 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $278top tenth $24,474+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 533 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 50930 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $287
Chance against standard: -7.6%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +3.2%$9 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Escape From Duckov (38.9% of the money): 532 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 53233 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $278
Chance against standard: -2.8%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 130 of 533.

Launches counted: 13010 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $218
Chance against standard: +20.6%1.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: -21.6%$60 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Third-Person Shooter, 12 to 36 months old: 533 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 533 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Escape From Duckov (38.9% of the money): 532 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 130 of 533.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when PvP + Third-Person Shooter moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.