Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Roguelike / Arena Shooter
Roguelike + Arena Shooter: a typical launch earns $293 in its first year
That is the median of 36 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 2 of 85 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 2.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 59% on the year before: 70 against 44.
- Price
- $293 median of 36 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −81.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 70 44 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 187 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 414 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.01%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.01% to 0.02% | 5 ranked of 187 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #7,169 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.90xhits against expected | 0.66x to 1.58x | 85 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,436 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 85
- Hit rate
- 2.4%0.0% to 5.9%
- Expected rate
- 3.0%
- Against expected
- 0.90x0.66x to 1.58x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
85 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $425
- Top tenth
- $24,935
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +59%
Parent tags
- RoguelikeGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Arena ShooterGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Arms of God (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,904 reviews, 88% positiveest. $443k
- ODDCORE (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,113 reviews, 96% positiveest. $293k
- Noobs Are Coming (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,584 reviews, 82% positiveest. $256k
- Go Mecha Ball (opens the Steam store)2024 · 372 reviews, 86% positiveest. $151k
- Wrong Bullet (opens the Steam store)2024 · 84 reviews, 89% positiveest. $51k
- Dark Fairy Tale: Dreamland Survivors (opens the Steam store)2025 · 479 reviews, 90% positiveest. $48k
- Broventure: The Wild Co-op (opens the Steam store)2025 · 399 reviews, 71% positiveest. $40k
- Voids Vigil (opens the Steam store)2024 · 378 reviews, 94% positiveest. $38k
More with Roguelike
pairs with Roguelike- Roguelike + Bullet Heaven$17,70935 launches priced, 135 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,25299 launches priced, 221 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based + Roguelike$4,45040 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Anime$4,38831 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Difficult$3,64173 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Auto Battler$3,39375 launches priced, 156 releases in 12 months
More with Arena Shooter
pairs with Arena Shooter- Roguelite + Arena Shooter$99052 launches priced, 87 releases in 12 months
- Arena Shooter + Action Roguelike$97067 launches priced, 140 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Arena Shooter$50632 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
- Bullet Hell + Arena Shooter$44579 launches priced, 141 releases in 12 months
- FPS + Arena Shooter$37270 launches priced, 127 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Arena Shooter$24348 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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