Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Roguelite + Arena Shooter: a typical launch earns $990 in its first year

That is the median of 52 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 119 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 47% on the year before: 87 against 59.

Price: $990
Price vs a year earlier: −41.6%
Releases, 12 months: 87
Upcoming games: 223
Games on the store: 532

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Roguelite + Arena Shooter on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.05%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.02% to 0.09%	10 ranked of 223 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#6,312 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.09xhits against expected	0.75x to 1.82x	119 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#2,251 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	−21%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−39% to +4%	24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#2,010 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	−16%review growth against same-age games	−24% to −8%	24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,494 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 4
Expected: 3.4

Launches: 119
Hit rate: 3.4%0.9% to 7.4%
Expected rate: 2.9%
Against expected: 1.09x0.75x to 1.82x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

119 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $49
Median: $991
Top tenth: $29,683

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 87
Prior 12 months: 59

Change: +47%
Against Steam: +6%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

RogueliteGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Arena ShooterGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Roguelite

pairs with Roguelite

Roguelite + Bullet Heaven$12,77652 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
Roguelite + Roguelike Deckbuilder$9,65574 launches priced, 161 releases in 12 months
FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
Co-op + Roguelite$4,52138 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
Roguelite + Female Protagonist$4,27345 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
Roguelite + Anime$4,27333 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Roguelite

More with Arena Shooter

pairs with Arena Shooter

Arena Shooter + Action Roguelike$97067 launches priced, 140 releases in 12 months
PvP + Arena Shooter$50632 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
Bullet Hell + Arena Shooter$44579 launches priced, 141 releases in 12 months
FPS + Arena Shooter$37270 launches priced, 127 releases in 12 months
Roguelike + Arena Shooter$29336 launches priced, 70 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Arena Shooter$24348 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Arena Shooter

Verdicts

in development

GMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.