Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

PvP + Arena Shooter: a typical launch earns $506 in its first year

That is the median of 32 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 1 of 66 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 39% on the year before: 82 against 59.

One game dominates the figure

Price: $506
Price vs a year earlier: +100.2%
Releases, 12 months: 82
Upcoming games: 302
Games on the store: 699

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

PvP + Arena Shooter on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.06%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.04% to 0.09%	12 ranked of 302 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#2,336 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. One game dominates the figure	0.67xhits against expected	0.54x to 1.21x	66 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#4,928 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	−13%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−35% to +13%	21 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,834 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	−13%review growth against same-age games	−22% to −4%	21 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,416 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 1
Expected: 3.0

Launches: 66
Hit rate: 1.5%0.0% to 3.7%
Expected rate: 4.6%
Against expected: 0.67x0.54x to 1.21x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

66 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $283
Top tenth: $4,145

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 82
Prior 12 months: 59

Change: +39%
Against Steam: 0%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

PvPNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Arena ShooterGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with PvP

pairs with PvP

RPG + PvP$1,53738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
PvP + Funny$1,11269 launches priced, 197 releases in 12 months
PvP + Party Game$1,11243 launches priced, 282 releases in 12 months
Sports + PvP$92876 launches priced, 150 releases in 12 months
PvP + Cute$90972 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
Simulation + PvP$81051 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months

Every pair with PvP

More with Arena Shooter

pairs with Arena Shooter

Roguelite + Arena Shooter$99052 launches priced, 87 releases in 12 months
Arena Shooter + Action Roguelike$97067 launches priced, 140 releases in 12 months
Bullet Hell + Arena Shooter$44579 launches priced, 141 releases in 12 months
FPS + Arena Shooter$37270 launches priced, 127 releases in 12 months
Roguelike + Arena Shooter$29336 launches priced, 70 releases in 12 months
First-Person + Arena Shooter$24348 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Arena Shooter

Verdicts

in development

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