Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder
Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder
Games tagged both Roguelike and Roguelike Deckbuilder: 182 indie paid launches, 36 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder beats Roguelike and is about level with Roguelike Deckbuilder: 35.8 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 26.9 in 100 for Roguelike and 36.9 in 100 for Roguelike Deckbuilder.
That is about 1.7 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 81 games tagged both Roguelike and Roguelike Deckbuilder priced $10 to $20. 35.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 24.8 in 100 for Roguelike-only games and 9 of 22 for Roguelike Deckbuilder-only games, so the mix beats Roguelike alone and is too small to compare with Roguelike Deckbuilder alone.
Both: 81 games priced $10 to $20; 35.8 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 94 in 100 · $10k+ 72 in 100 · $100k+ 36 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 81 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience split. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view174 of 182 launches | Without the breakout181 of 182 launches | Last 18 months67 of 182 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 18236 hits | 17432 hits | 18135 hits | 6710 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 19.8 in 100 | 18.4 in 100 | 19.3 in 100 | 14.9 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $10,644top tenth $463,973+ | $10,385 | $10,385 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -7.0%1.4 fewer in 100 | -2.2%0.4 fewer in 100 | -24.5%4.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -2.4%$259 less | -2.4%$259 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Roguelike and Roguelike Deckbuilder, 12 to 36 months old: 182 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 182 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (46.3% of the money): 181 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 67 of 182.
Roguelike holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Roguelike | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,002 of 2,152 launches | Without the breakout2,151 of 2,152 launches | Last 18 months675 of 2,152 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,152178 hits | 2,002164 hits | 2,151177 hits | 67558 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,017top tenth $71,528+ | $1,091 | $1,012 | $909 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.5%no change | +3.9%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +7.3%$74 more | -0.5%$5 less | -10.6%$108 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,152 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 150 of 2,152 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (16.0% of the money): 2,151 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 675 of 2,152.
Roguelike Deckbuilder is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Roguelike Deckbuilder | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view233 of 246 launches | Without the breakout245 of 246 launches | Last 18 months87 of 246 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 24646 hits | 23341 hits | 24545 hits | 8715 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 18.7 in 100 | 17.6 in 100 | 18.4 in 100 | 17.2 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $9,763top tenth $362,974+ | $9,255 | $9,255 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -5.9%1.1 fewer in 100 | -1.8%0.3 fewer in 100 | -7.8%1.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -5.2%$508 less | -5.2%$508 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike Deckbuilder, 12 to 36 months old: 246 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 246 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Balatro (43.7% of the money): 245 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 87 of 246.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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