Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

Settings
Text size
Game Market DataBuild what sells
Live games
192,217
on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Roguelike + Third Person

Niche

Roguelike + Third Person

Games tagged both Roguelike and Third Person: 57 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Roguelike + Third Person priced under $5, hiding samples under 30 launches.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Roguelike + Third Person is too small to compare with Roguelike and is too small to compare with Third Person: 0 of its 35 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.5 in 100 for Roguelike and 0 of 778 launches for Third Person.

Small sample: 35 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag oneRoguelike
0.5in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds1 in 203
Typical earnings$171
Launches1,016 / 5 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairRoguelike + Third Person
0 of 35launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds0 of 35 launches
$1k+14 in 100
$10k+2 of 35 launches
Launches35 / 0 hits
Expected0.4 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twomood tagThird Person
0 of 778launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds0 of 778 launches
Typical earnings$107
Launches778 / 0 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 238), typical $158, from 13,785 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Third Person is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices57 in pairUnder $535 in pair$5 to $1014 in pair$10 to $207: too few$20 to $401: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 35 games tagged both Roguelike and Third Person priced under $5. 0 of 35 of them earned $100k+, against 0.5 in 100 for Roguelike-only games and 0 of 743 for Third Person-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Roguelike alone and is too small to compare with Third Person alone.

Both: 35 games priced under $5; 0 of 35 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 14 in 100 · $10k+ 2 of 35 launches · $100k+ 0 of 35 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 35 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Descenders Nextleads this pair49.8%
PairDescenders Next49.8%
RoguelikeHades II16.6%
Third PersonThe Forever Winter14.9%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Roguelike + Third Person

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Descenders Next earned 49.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 57 Roguelike + Third Person launches.
  • Roguelike is led by Hades II, with 16.6% of its money.
  • Third Person is led by The Forever Winter, with 14.9% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Roguelike + Third Person holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Roguelike + Third Person through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view52 of 57 launchesWithout the breakout56 of 57 launchesLast 18 months14 of 57 launches
Launches counted571 hits521 hits560 hits141 hits
Earned $100k+1 of 57too few for a rate1 of 52too few for a rate0 of 56too few for a rate1 of 14too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+16 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 32 in 100under 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+9.6%0.2 more in 100; too few to tell-100.0%1.8 fewer in 100+307.1%5.4 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe baseunder 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewToo few to tellHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Roguelike and Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 57 launches.

Launches counted
571 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 57too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
16 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 32 in 100
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 57 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
521 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 52too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+9.6%0.2 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Descenders Next (49.8% of the money): 56 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
560 hits
Earned $100k+
0 of 56too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-100.0%1.8 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 14 of 57.

Launches counted
141 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 14too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+307.1%5.4 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Roguelike and Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 57 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 57 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Descenders Next (49.8% of the money): 56 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 14 of 57.

Roguelike holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Roguelike through every lens, all prices
RoguelikeBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,939 of 2,082 launchesWithout the breakout2,081 of 2,082 launchesLast 18 months640 of 2,082 launches
Launches counted2,082179 hits1,939165 hits2,081178 hits64056 hits
Earned $100k+8.6 in 1001 in 128.5 in 1001 in 128.6 in 1001 in 128.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings$1,034top tenth $75,603+$1,112$1,032$1,053
Chance against standardthe base-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100-0.5%no change+1.8%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+7.5%$78 more-0.2%$2 less+1.8%$19 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,082 launches.

Launches counted
2,082179 hits
Earned $100k+
8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,034top tenth $75,603+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 2,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,939165 hits
Earned $100k+
8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,112
Chance against standard
-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+7.5%$78 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (16.6% of the money): 2,081 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
2,081178 hits
Earned $100k+
8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,032
Chance against standard
-0.5%no change
Typical against standard
-0.2%$2 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 640 of 2,082.

Launches counted
64056 hits
Earned $100k+
8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,053
Chance against standard
+1.8%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+1.8%$19 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,082 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 2,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (16.6% of the money): 2,081 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 640 of 2,082.

Third Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Third Person through every lens, all prices
Third PersonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,435 of 1,487 launchesWithout the breakout1,486 of 1,487 launchesLast 18 months425 of 1,487 launches
Launches counted1,48787 hits1,43586 hits1,48686 hits42527 hits
Earned $100k+5.9 in 1001 in 176.0 in 1001 in 175.8 in 1001 in 176.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings$295top tenth $26,884+$313$295$307
Chance against standardthe base+2.4%0.1 more in 100-1.1%0.1 fewer in 100+8.6%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+6.1%$18 more0.0%no change+4.1%$12 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 1,487 launches.

Launches counted
1,48787 hits
Earned $100k+
5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$295top tenth $26,884+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 52 of 1,487 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,43586 hits
Earned $100k+
6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$313
Chance against standard
+2.4%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+6.1%$18 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (14.9% of the money): 1,486 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,48686 hits
Earned $100k+
5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$295
Chance against standard
-1.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 425 of 1,487.

Launches counted
42527 hits
Earned $100k+
6.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$307
Chance against standard
+8.6%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard
+4.1%$12 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 1,487 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 52 of 1,487 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (14.9% of the money): 1,486 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 425 of 1,487.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Roguelike + Third Person moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.