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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Roguelite + Sci-fi

Niche

Roguelite + Sci-fi

Games tagged both Roguelite and Sci-fi: 85 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Roguelite + Sci-fi priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Roguelite and is about level with Sci-fi; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Roguelite and is too small to compare with Sci-fi.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Roguelite + Sci-fi is too small to compare with Roguelite and is too small to compare with Sci-fi: 3 of its 17 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 25.7 in 100 for Roguelite and 14.9 in 100 for Sci-fi.

Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures. Small sample: 17 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag oneRoguelite
25.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds25.7 in 100
Typical earnings$18,216
Launches381 / 98 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairRoguelite + Sci-fi
3 of 17launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds3 of 17 launches
Typical earnings$8,775
Launches17 / 3 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIETied
Tag twomood tagSci-fi
14.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds14.9 in 100
Typical earnings$6,837
Launches241 / 36 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Sci-fi is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 17 games tagged both Roguelite and Sci-fi priced $10 to $20. 3 of 17 of them earned $100k+, against 26.1 in 100 for Roguelite-only games and 14.7 in 100 for Sci-fi-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Roguelite alone and is too small to compare with Sci-fi alone.

Both: 17 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 17 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $8,775.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 17 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Jump Spaceleads this pair70.8%
PairJump Space70.8%
RogueliteHades II14.1%
Sci-fiLethal Company36.8%
CheckOne game over half?yes
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Roguelite + Sci-fi

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Jump Space earned 70.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 85 Roguelite + Sci-fi launches.
  • Roguelite is led by Hades II, with 14.1% of its money.
  • Sci-fi is led by Lethal Company, with 36.8% of its money.
  • One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Roguelite + Sci-fi is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.

Roguelite + Sci-fi through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view82 of 85 launchesWithout the breakout84 of 85 launchesLast 18 months21 of 85 launches
Launches counted856 hits826 hits845 hits212 hits
Earned $100k+7.1 in 1001 in 147.3 in 1001 in 146.0 in 1001 in 172 of 21too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$575top tenth $81,785+$708$575$563
Chance against standardthe base+3.7%0.3 more in 100-15.7%1.1 fewer in 100+34.9%2.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base+23.1%$133 more; too few to tell0.0%no change-2.1%$12 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsMoves the answerToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Roguelite and Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 85 launches.

Launches counted
856 hits
Earned $100k+
7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$575top tenth $81,785+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 85 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
826 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$708
Chance against standard
+3.7%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
+23.1%$133 more; too few to tell
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Jump Space (70.8% of the money): 84 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
845 hits
Earned $100k+
6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$575
Chance against standard
-15.7%1.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 85.

Launches counted
212 hits
Earned $100k+
2 of 21too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$563
Chance against standard
+34.9%2.5 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
-2.1%$12 less; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Roguelite and Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 85 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 85 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Jump Space (70.8% of the money): 84 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 21 of 85.

Roguelite holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Roguelite through every lens, all prices
RogueliteBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,875 of 2,011 launchesWithout the breakout2,010 of 2,011 launchesLast 18 months615 of 2,011 launches
Launches counted2,011170 hits1,875158 hits2,010169 hits61552 hits
Earned $100k+8.5 in 1001 in 128.4 in 1001 in 128.4 in 1001 in 128.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings$1,113top tenth $72,554+$1,190$1,113$1,072
Chance against standardthe base-0.3%no change-0.5%no change0.0%no change
Typical against standardthe base+6.9%$77 more0.0%no change-3.7%$41 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelite, 12 to 36 months old: 2,011 launches.

Launches counted
2,011170 hits
Earned $100k+
8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,113top tenth $72,554+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 136 of 2,011 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,875158 hits
Earned $100k+
8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,190
Chance against standard
-0.3%no change
Typical against standard
+6.9%$77 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (14.1% of the money): 2,010 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
2,010169 hits
Earned $100k+
8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,113
Chance against standard
-0.5%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 615 of 2,011.

Launches counted
61552 hits
Earned $100k+
8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,072
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-3.7%$41 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelite, 12 to 36 months old: 2,011 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 136 of 2,011 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (14.1% of the money): 2,010 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 615 of 2,011.

Sci-fi holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Sci-fi through every lens, all prices
Sci-fiBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,187 of 1,222 launchesWithout the breakout1,221 of 1,222 launchesLast 18 months335 of 1,222 launches
Launches counted1,22291 hits1,18787 hits1,22190 hits33524 hits
Earned $100k+7.4 in 1001 in 137.3 in 1001 in 147.4 in 1001 in 147.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$548top tenth $54,155+$544$548$517
Chance against standardthe base-1.6%0.1 fewer in 100-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100-3.8%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base-0.7%$4 less0.0%no change-5.7%$31 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 1,222 launches.

Launches counted
1,22291 hits
Earned $100k+
7.4 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$548top tenth $54,155+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 35 of 1,222 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,18787 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$544
Chance against standard
-1.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.7%$4 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Lethal Company (36.8% of the money): 1,221 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,22190 hits
Earned $100k+
7.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$548
Chance against standard
-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 335 of 1,222.

Launches counted
33524 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$517
Chance against standard
-3.8%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-5.7%$31 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 1,222 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 35 of 1,222 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Lethal Company (36.8% of the money): 1,221 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 335 of 1,222.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Roguelite + Sci-fi moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.