Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
RPG + Card Game: a typical launch earns $708 in its first year
That is the median of 91 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 16 of 184 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 12.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 25% on the year before: 153 against 122.
- China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese
- Price
- $708 median of 91 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −12.5% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 153 122 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 457 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,093 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.08%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.05% to 0.12% | 24 ranked of 457 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,998 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.24xhits against expected | 0.90x to 1.72x | 184 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,947 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +4%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −20% to +32% | 40 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,318 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −5%review growth against same-age games | −15% to +9% | 40 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #2,284 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 184
- Hit rate
- 8.7%7.1% to 14.1%
- Expected rate
- 6.7%
- Against expected
- 1.24x0.90x to 1.72x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
184 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $607
- Top tenth
- $71,776
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +25%
- Against Steam
- −8%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Sultan's Game (opens the Steam store)2025 · 25,110 reviews, 93% positiveest. $7.8M
- Super Fantasy Kingdom (opens the Steam store)2025 · 5,648 reviews, 86% positiveest. $2.2M
- He is Coming (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,852 reviews, 84% positiveest. $1.6M
- Dungeons & Degenerate Gamblers (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,007 reviews, 81% positiveest. $874k
- Cross Blitz (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,560 reviews, 74% positiveest. $726k
- Matchmaking Inc. (opens the Steam store)2025 · 5,797 reviews, 87% positiveest. $596k
- Card Survival: Fantasy Forest (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,141 reviews, 76% positiveest. $508k
- Card-en-Ciel (opens the Steam store)2024 · 858 reviews, 90% positiveest. $434k
More with RPG
pairs with RPG- RPG + FMV$25,57938 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Base Building$17,28632 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Farming Sim$8,78948 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Resource Management$8,05030 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
More with Card Game
pairs with Card Game- Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,32394 launches priced, 164 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Auto Battler$2,67141 launches priced, 78 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Roguelite$2,214162 launches priced, 351 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Dungeon Crawler$1,96232 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Roguelike$1,821201 launches priced, 431 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Turn-Based$1,61733 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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