Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
RPG + Colorful: a typical launch earns $241 in its first year
That is the median of 96 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 7 of 197 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 12.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 40% on the year before: 173 against 124.
- Price
- $241 median of 96 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −61.5% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 173 124 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 521 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,238 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.13%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.08% to 0.19% | 29 ranked of 521 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,460 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.64xhits against expected | 0.43x to 1.00x | 197 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,075 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −7%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −23% to +15% | 42 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,638 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −6%review growth against same-age games | −14% to +3% | 42 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,081 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 197
- Hit rate
- 3.6%1.5% to 6.6%
- Expected rate
- 6.5%
- Against expected
- 0.64x0.43x to 1.00x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
197 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $281
- Top tenth
- $21,086
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +40%
- Against Steam
- +1%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Snufkin: Melody of Moominvalley (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,391 reviews, 97% positiveest. $2.3M
- Nice Day for Fishing (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,620 reviews, 86% positiveest. $1.3M
- Ooblets (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,389 reviews, 91% positiveest. $844k
- Cross Blitz (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,560 reviews, 74% positiveest. $726k
- Bandle Tale: A League of Legends Story (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,244 reviews, 77% positiveest. $630k
- Kabuto Park (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,375 reviews, 99% positiveest. $430k
- Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island (opens the Steam store)2024 · 495 reviews, 84% positiveest. $401k
- Spirittea (opens the Steam store)2023 · 679 reviews, 84% positiveest. $275k
More with RPG
pairs with RPG- RPG + FMV$25,57938 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Base Building$17,28632 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Farming Sim$8,78948 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Resource Management$8,05030 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
More with Colorful
pairs with Colorful- Colorful + Cozy$3,63859 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Colorful$3,39962 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Colorful$2,68975 launches priced, 112 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Emotional$2,00335 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Life Sim$1,85851 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Magic + Colorful$1,66832 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.