Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

RPG + FPS: a typical launch earns $646 in its first year

That is the median of 53 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 9 of 93 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 38% on the year before: 39 against 63.

Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games

Price: $646
Price vs a year earlier: +6.4%
Releases, 12 months: 39
Upcoming games: 218
Games on the store: 579

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

RPG + FPS on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.83%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.33% to 1.44%	23 ranked of 218 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#284 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games	1.17xhits against expected	0.81x to 1.74x	93 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#1,876 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	+113%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	+58% to +224%	18 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#4 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	+2%review growth against same-age games	−14% to +16%	18 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#733 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 9
Expected: 7.2

Launches: 93
Hit rate: 9.7%4.6% to 14.4%
Expected rate: 7.8%
Against expected: 1.17x0.81x to 1.74x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

93 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $646
Top tenth: $48,407

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 39
Prior 12 months: 63

Change: −38%
Against Steam: −52%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

RPGGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
FPSGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with RPG

pairs with RPG

RPG + FMV$25,57938 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
RPG + Base Building$17,28632 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
RPG + Farming Sim$8,78948 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
RPG + Resource Management$8,05030 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months

Every pair with RPG

More with FPS

pairs with FPS

FPS + Online Co-Op$13,34030 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
FPS + Immersive Sim$3,84453 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
FPS + Story Rich$3,09340 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
FPS + Co-op$2,58933 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
FPS + Boomer Shooter$2,15474 launches priced, 134 releases in 12 months

Every pair with FPS

Verdicts

in development

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