Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / RPG / Turn-Based Strategy
RPG + Turn-Based Strategy: a typical launch earns $1,214 in its first year
That is the median of 187 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 32 of 371 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 33.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 29% on the year before: 308 against 238.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $1,214 median of 187 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +16.3% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 308 238 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 1,008 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 2,454 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 2.49%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.79% to 6.02% | 97 ranked of 1,008 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #3,962 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.95xhits against expected | 0.74x to 1.23x | 371 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,087 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +3%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −12% to +17% | 112 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,345 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −2%review growth against same-age games | −12% to +11% | 112 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #2,094 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 371
- Hit rate
- 8.6%5.4% to 12.2%
- Expected rate
- 9.1%
- Against expected
- 0.95x0.74x to 1.23x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
371 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $728
- Top tenth
- $64,579
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +29%
- Against Steam
- −4%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- RPGGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Turn-Based StrategyGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Mewgenics (opens the Steam store)2026 · 50,493 reviews, 89% positiveest. $29M
- Heroes of Might and Magic: Olden Era (opens the Steam store)2026 · 19,441 reviews, 86% positiveest. $15M
- MENACE (opens the Steam store)2026 · 12,364 reviews, 90% positiveest. $9.8M
- For The King II (opens the Steam store)2023 · 12,765 reviews, 71% positiveest. $5.6M
- Quasimorph (opens the Steam store)2023 · 7,257 reviews, 82% positiveest. $3.6M
- NORSE: Oath of Blood (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,554 reviews, 56% positiveest. $1.7M
- Heroes' Vow: Three Kingdoms (opens the Steam store)2025 · 7,011 reviews, 87% positiveest. $1.7M
- Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus II (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,103 reviews, 52% positiveest. $1.7M
More with RPG
pairs with RPG- RPG + FMV$25,57938 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Base Building$17,28632 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Farming Sim$8,78948 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Resource Management$8,05030 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
More with Turn-Based Strategy
pairs with Turn-Based Strategy- Turn-Based Strategy + Story Rich$8,09741 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Roguelike Deckbuilder$7,14342 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based + Turn-Based Strategy$5,79134 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Historical$4,04836 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
- War + Turn-Based Strategy$3,84640 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based Strategy + Deckbuilding$3,05388 launches priced, 169 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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