Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / RPG + Turn-Based Strategy
RPG + Turn-Based Strategy
Games tagged both RPG and Turn-Based Strategy: 340 indie paid launches, 29 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing RPG + Turn-Based Strategy priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
RPG + Turn-Based Strategy is about level with RPG and is about level with Turn-Based Strategy: 19.5 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.6 in 100 for RPG and 19.7 in 100 for Turn-Based Strategy.
That is about 1.0 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 87 games tagged both RPG and Turn-Based Strategy priced $10 to $20. 19.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 20.7 in 100 for RPG-only games and 19.8 in 100 for Turn-Based Strategy-only games, so the mix is about level with RPG alone and is about level with Turn-Based Strategy alone.
Both: 87 games priced $10 to $20; 19.5 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 82 in 100 · $10k+ 48 in 100 · $100k+ 20 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 87 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
RPG + Turn-Based Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view268 of 340 launches | Without the breakout339 of 340 launches | Last 18 months104 of 340 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 34029 hits | 26823 hits | 33928 hits | 1049 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 8.7 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $767top tenth $74,353+ | $643 | $744 | $643 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.6%0.1 more in 100 | -3.2%0.3 fewer in 100 | +1.5%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -16.2%$124 less | -3.0%$23 less | -16.2%$124 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both RPG and Turn-Based Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 340 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 72 of 340 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, For The King II (25.2% of the money): 339 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 104 of 340.
RPG holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,170 of 3,764 launches | Without the breakout3,763 of 3,764 launches | Last 18 months1,023 of 3,764 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,764305 hits | 3,170261 hits | 3,763304 hits | 1,02386 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $696top tenth $68,337+ | $769 | $696 | $858 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.6%0.1 more in 100 | -0.3%no change | +3.7%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +10.5%$73 more | 0.0%no change | +23.3%$162 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,764 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 594 of 3,764 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.7% of the money): 3,763 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,023 of 3,764.
Turn-Based Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Turn-Based Strategy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view954 of 1,096 launches | Without the breakout1,095 of 1,096 launches | Last 18 months345 of 1,096 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,09687 hits | 95478 hits | 1,09586 hits | 34527 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 | 7.8 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $858top tenth $60,061+ | $1,001 | $850 | $780 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +3.0%0.2 more in 100 | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +16.7%$143 more | -0.9%$8 less | -9.1%$78 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Turn-Based Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 1,096 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 142 of 1,096 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, For The King II (8.8% of the money): 1,095 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 345 of 1,096.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when RPG + Turn-Based Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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