Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / RPG + Turn-Based
RPG + Turn-Based
Games tagged both RPG and Turn-Based: 47 indie paid launches, 12 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing RPG + Turn-Based priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with RPG and is too small to compare with Turn-Based.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
RPG + Turn-Based is too small to compare with RPG and is too small to compare with Turn-Based: 5 of its 23 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.6 in 100 for RPG and 25.4 in 100 for Turn-Based.
Small sample: 23 launches, 5 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 23 games tagged both RPG and Turn-Based priced $10 to $20. 5 of 23 of them earned $100k+, against 20.6 in 100 for RPG-only games and 27.3 in 100 for Turn-Based-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with RPG alone and is too small to compare with Turn-Based alone.
Both: 23 games priced $10 to $20; 5 of 23 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 22 of 23 launches · $10k+ 18 of 23 launches · $100k+ 5 of 23 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 23 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
RPG + Turn-Based holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view45 of 47 launches | Without the breakout46 of 47 launches | Last 18 months19 of 47 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4712 hits | 4512 hits | 4611 hits | 195 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 25.5 in 100 | 26.7 in 100 | 23.9 in 100 | 5 of 19too few for a rate |
| Chance of $10k+ | 64 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 83 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +4.4%1.1 more in 100 | -6.3%1.6 fewer in 100 | +3.1%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both RPG and Turn-Based, 12 to 36 months old: 47 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 47 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Aethermancer (35.3% of the money): 46 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 19 of 47.
RPG holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| RPG | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,170 of 3,764 launches | Without the breakout3,763 of 3,764 launches | Last 18 months1,023 of 3,764 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,764305 hits | 3,170261 hits | 3,763304 hits | 1,02386 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $696top tenth $68,337+ | $769 | $696 | $858 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.6%0.1 more in 100 | -0.3%no change | +3.7%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +10.5%$73 more | 0.0%no change | +23.3%$162 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,764 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 594 of 3,764 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.7% of the money): 3,763 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,023 of 3,764.
Turn-Based holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Turn-Based | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view167 of 172 launches | Without the breakout171 of 172 launches | Last 18 months62 of 172 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 17232 hits | 16731 hits | 17131 hits | 6211 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 18.6 in 100 | 18.6 in 100 | 18.1 in 100 | 17.7 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $6,577top tenth $238,809+ | $6,974 | $6,502 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.2%no change | -2.6%0.5 fewer in 100 | -4.6%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +6.0%$397 more | -1.1%$75 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Turn-Based, 12 to 36 months old: 172 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 172 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tactical Breach Wizards (24.5% of the money): 171 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 62 of 172.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when RPG + Turn-Based moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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