Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
RTS + War
Games tagged both RTS and War: 49 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing RTS + War priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats RTS and is about level with War; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with RTS and is too small to compare with War.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
RTS + War is too small to compare with RTS and is too small to compare with War: 3 of its 13 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 19.1 in 100 for RTS and 19.0 in 100 for War.
Small sample: 13 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 13 games tagged both RTS and War priced $10 to $20. 3 of 13 of them earned $100k+, against 18.6 in 100 for RTS-only games and 18.0 in 100 for War-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with RTS alone and is too small to compare with War alone.
Both: 13 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 13 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 12 of 13 launches · $10k+ 11 of 13 launches · $100k+ 3 of 13 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 13 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
RTS + War is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view43 of 49 launches | Without the breakout48 of 49 launches | Last 18 months15 of 49 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 496 hits | 436 hits | 485 hits | 152 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 12.2 in 100 | 14.0 in 100 | 10.4 in 100 | 2 of 15too few for a rate |
| Chance of $10k+ | 37 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 61 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +14.0%1.7 more in 100 | -14.9%1.8 fewer in 100 | +8.9%1.1 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both RTS and War, 12 to 36 months old: 49 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 6 of 49 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tempest Rising (68.3% of the money): 48 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 15 of 49.
RTS is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| RTS | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view457 of 493 launches | Without the breakout492 of 493 launches | Last 18 months137 of 493 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 49345 hits | 45745 hits | 49244 hits | 13717 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 9.8 in 1001 in 10 | 8.9 in 1001 in 11 | 12.4 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $696top tenth $84,589+ | $781 | $696 | $826 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +7.9%0.7 more in 100 | -2.0%0.2 fewer in 100 | +35.9%3.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +12.2%$85 more | 0.0%no change | +18.7%$130 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged RTS, 12 to 36 months old: 493 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 36 of 493 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tempest Rising (16.3% of the money): 492 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 137 of 493.
War holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| War | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view281 of 308 launches | Without the breakout307 of 308 launches | Last 18 months89 of 308 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 30835 hits | 28132 hits | 30734 hits | 8911 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.4 in 100 | 11.4 in 100 | 11.1 in 100 | 12.4 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,543top tenth $133,978+ | $1,673 | $1,534 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.2%no change | -2.5%0.3 fewer in 100 | +8.8%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +8.4%$130 more | -0.6%$9 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged War, 12 to 36 months old: 308 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 27 of 308 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Tempest Rising (28.0% of the money): 307 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 89 of 308.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when RTS + War moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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