Niche

Runner + Simulation

Games tagged both Runner and Simulation: 43 indie paid launches, 0 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing Runner + Simulation priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Runner + Simulation is too small to compare with Runner and is too small to compare with Simulation: 0 of its 35 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0 of 387 launches for Runner and 1.0 in 100 for Simulation.

Small sample: 35 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneRunner

0 of 387launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 387 launches

Typical earnings$71

Launches387 / 0 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairRunner + Simulation

0 of 35launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 35 launches

$1k+14 in 100

$10k+1 of 35 launches

Launches35 / 0 hits

Expected0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoSimulation

1.0in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 98

Typical earnings$214

Launches2,154 / 22 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 238), typical $158, from 13,785 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices43 in pair Under $535 in pair$5 to $105: too few$10 to $203: too few$20 to $40no launches

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 35 games tagged both Runner and Simulation priced under $5. 0 of 35 of them earned $100k+, against 0 of 352 for Runner-only games and 1.0 in 100 for Simulation-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Runner alone and is too small to compare with Simulation alone.

Both: 35 games priced under $5; 0 of 35 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 14 in 100 · $10k+ 1 of 35 launches · $100k+ 0 of 35 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 35 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Retrowave 2leads this pair32.2%

PairRetrowave 232.2%

RunnerHaste45.0%

SimulationSchedule I17.9%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Runner + Simulation

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Retrowave 2 earned 32.2% of the estimated first-year money of the 43 Runner + Simulation launches.
Runner is led by Haste, with 45.0% of its money.
Simulation is led by Schedule I, with 17.9% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Runner + Simulation holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Runner + Simulation through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view40 of 43 launches	Without the breakout42 of 43 launches	Last 18 months13 of 43 launches
Launches counted	430 hits	400 hits	420 hits	130 hits
Earned $100k+	0 of 43too few for a rate	0 of 40too few for a rate	0 of 42too few for a rate	0 of 13too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	2 of 43 launchescleared $10k; $1k+ 26 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	0.0%no change	0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Runner and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 43 launches.

Launches counted: 430 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 43too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 2 of 43 launchescleared $10k; $1k+ 26 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 43 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 400 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 40too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Retrowave 2 (32.2% of the money): 42 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 420 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 42too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 13 of 43.

Launches counted: 130 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 13too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Runner and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 43 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 43 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Retrowave 2 (32.2% of the money): 42 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 13 of 43.

Runner holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Runner through every lens, all prices
Runner	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view515 of 534 launches	Without the breakout533 of 534 launches	Last 18 months136 of 534 launches
Launches counted	5347 hits	5157 hits	5336 hits	1363 hits
Earned $100k+	1.3 in 1001 in 76	1.4 in 1001 in 74	1.1 in 1001 in 89	3 of 136too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$94top tenth $2,275+	$94	$94	$107
Chance against standard	the base	+3.7%no change	-14.1%0.2 fewer in 100	+68.3%0.9 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	+13.8%$13 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Runner, 12 to 36 months old: 534 launches.

Launches counted: 5347 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.3 in 1001 in 76
Typical first-year earnings: $94top tenth $2,275+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 19 of 534 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 5157 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.4 in 1001 in 74
Typical first-year earnings: $94
Chance against standard: +3.7%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Haste (45.0% of the money): 533 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 5336 hits
Earned $100k+: 1.1 in 1001 in 89
Typical first-year earnings: $94
Chance against standard: -14.1%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 136 of 534.

Launches counted: 1363 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 136too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $107
Chance against standard: +68.3%0.9 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +13.8%$13 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Runner, 12 to 36 months old: 534 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 19 of 534 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Haste (45.0% of the money): 533 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 136 of 534.

Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Simulation through every lens, all prices
Simulation	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view4,191 of 4,442 launches	Without the breakout4,441 of 4,442 launches	Last 18 months1,386 of 4,442 launches
Launches counted	4,442408 hits	4,191389 hits	4,441407 hits	1,386133 hits
Earned $100k+	9.2 in 1001 in 11	9.3 in 1001 in 11	9.2 in 1001 in 11	9.6 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings	$929top tenth $86,074+	$1,011	$928	$1,011
Chance against standard	the base	+1.1%0.1 more in 100	-0.2%no change	+4.5%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+8.8%$82 more	-0.1%$1 less	+8.8%$82 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,442 launches.

Launches counted: 4,442408 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $929top tenth $86,074+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,442 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 4,191389 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.3 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,011
Chance against standard: +1.1%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +8.8%$82 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.9% of the money): 4,441 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 4,441407 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.2 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $928
Chance against standard: -0.2%no change
Typical against standard: -0.1%$1 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,386 of 4,442.

Launches counted: 1,386133 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.6 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $1,011
Chance against standard: +4.5%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +8.8%$82 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,442 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,442 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.9% of the money): 4,441 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,386 of 4,442.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Runner + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.