Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Sandbox + Simulation
Sandbox + Simulation
Games tagged both Sandbox and Simulation: 604 indie paid launches, 105 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Sandbox + Simulation priced $10 to $20, last 18 months, hiding samples under 30 launches. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Sandbox + Simulation is about level with Sandbox and beats Simulation: 31.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 32.8 in 100 for Sandbox and 23.8 in 100 for Simulation.
That is about 1.5 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 183 games tagged both Sandbox and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 31.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 34.5 in 100 for Sandbox-only games and 21.9 in 100 for Simulation-only games, so the mix trails Sandbox alone and beats Simulation alone.
Both: 183 games priced $10 to $20; 31.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $32,140.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 183 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Sandbox + Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view593 of 604 launches | Without the breakout603 of 604 launches | Last 18 months196 of 604 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 604105 hits | 593104 hits | 603104 hits | 19632 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 17.4 in 100 | 17.5 in 100 | 17.2 in 100 | 16.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $3,065top tenth $283,888+ | $3,319 | $3,011 | $3,065 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.9%0.2 more in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | -6.1%1.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +8.3%$254 more | -1.8%$54 less | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Sandbox and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 604 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 11 of 604 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (38.4% of the money): 603 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 196 of 604.
Sandbox holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Sandbox | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,173 of 1,220 launches | Without the breakout1,219 of 1,220 launches | Last 18 months386 of 1,220 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,220206 hits | 1,173194 hits | 1,219205 hits | 38665 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 16.9 in 100 | 16.5 in 100 | 16.8 in 100 | 16.8 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,007top tenth $290,975+ | $2,070 | $1,992 | $2,439 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.1%0.3 fewer in 100 | -0.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.3%no change |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.1%$63 more | -0.7%$15 less | +21.5%$432 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 12 to 36 months old: 1,220 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 1,220 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (23.1% of the money): 1,219 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 386 of 1,220.
Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,191 of 4,442 launches | Without the breakout4,441 of 4,442 launches | Last 18 months1,386 of 4,442 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,442408 hits | 4,191389 hits | 4,441407 hits | 1,386133 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 9.3 in 1001 in 11 | 9.2 in 1001 in 11 | 9.6 in 1001 in 10 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $929top tenth $86,074+ | $1,011 | $928 | $1,011 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.1%0.1 more in 100 | -0.2%no change | +4.5%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +8.8%$82 more | -0.1%$1 less | +8.8%$82 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,442 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,442 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.9% of the money): 4,441 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,386 of 4,442.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Sandbox + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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