Niche

Sci-fi + Space Sim

Games tagged both Sci-fi and Space Sim: 61 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Sci-fi + Space Sim priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Sci-fi + Space Sim is too small to compare with Sci-fi and is too small to compare with Space Sim: 2 of its 12 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 19.6 in 100 for Sci-fi and 4 of 42 launches for Space Sim.

Small sample: 12 launches, 2 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagSci-fi

19.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds19.6 in 100

Typical earnings$9,763

Launches240 / 47 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairSci-fi + Space Sim

2 of 12launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds2 of 12 launches

$1k+7 of 12 launches

$10k+3 of 12 launches

Launches12 / 2 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoSpace Sim

4 of 42launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds4 of 42 launches

$1k+74 in 100

$10k+38 in 100

Launches42 / 4 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Sci-fi is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices61 in pair Under $528 in pair $5 to $1018 in pair $10 to $2012 in pair$20 to $403: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 12 games tagged both Sci-fi and Space Sim priced $10 to $20. 2 of 12 of them earned $100k+, against 19.7 in 100 for Sci-fi-only games and 2 of 30 for Space Sim-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Sci-fi alone and is too small to compare with Space Sim alone.

Both: 12 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 12 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 7 of 12 launches · $10k+ 3 of 12 launches · $100k+ 2 of 12 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 12 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Star Truckerleads this pair46.6%

PairStar Trucker46.6%

Sci-fiAbiotic Factor12.7%

Space SimStar Trucker38.6%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Sci-fi + Space Sim

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Star Trucker earned 46.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 61 Sci-fi + Space Sim launches.
Sci-fi is led by Abiotic Factor, with 12.7% of its money.
It also leads Space Sim, with 38.6% of that tag's money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Sci-fi + Space Sim holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Sci-fi + Space Sim through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view60 of 61 launches	Without the breakout60 of 61 launches	Last 18 months11 of 61 launches
Launches counted	614 hits	604 hits	603 hits	110 hits
Earned $100k+	4 of 61too few for a rate	4 of 60too few for a rate	3 of 60too few for a rate	0 of 11too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	13 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 33 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+1.7%0.1 more in 100; too few to tell	-23.8%1.6 fewer in 100	-100.0%6.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Sci-fi and Space Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 61 launches.

Launches counted: 614 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 61too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 13 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 33 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 61 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 604 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 60too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +1.7%0.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Star Trucker (46.6% of the money): 60 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 603 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 60too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -23.8%1.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 61.

Launches counted: 110 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 11too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -100.0%6.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Sci-fi and Space Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 61 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 61 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Star Trucker (46.6% of the money): 60 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 61.

Sci-fi holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Sci-fi through every lens, all prices
Sci-fi	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,208 of 1,242 launches	Without the breakout1,241 of 1,242 launches	Last 18 months323 of 1,242 launches
Launches counted	1,242111 hits	1,208107 hits	1,241110 hits	32326 hits
Earned $100k+	8.9 in 1001 in 11	8.9 in 1001 in 11	8.9 in 1001 in 11	8.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings	$545top tenth $74,428+	$545	$545	$579
Chance against standard	the base	-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.8%0.1 fewer in 100	-9.9%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	+6.2%$34 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 1,242 launches.

Launches counted: 1,242111 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $545top tenth $74,428+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 1,242 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,208107 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $545
Chance against standard: -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (12.7% of the money): 1,241 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,241110 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $545
Chance against standard: -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 323 of 1,242.

Launches counted: 32326 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.0 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $579
Chance against standard: -9.9%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +6.2%$34 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 1,242 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 1,242 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (12.7% of the money): 1,241 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 323 of 1,242.

Space Sim holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Space Sim through every lens, all prices
Space Sim	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view208 of 216 launches	Without the breakout215 of 216 launches	Last 18 months62 of 216 launches
Launches counted	2167 hits	2087 hits	2156 hits	621 hits
Earned $100k+	3.2 in 1001 in 31	3.4 in 1001 in 30	2.8 in 1001 in 36	1 of 62too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$307top tenth $17,897+	$324	$295	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+3.8%0.1 more in 100	-13.9%0.5 fewer in 100	-50.2%1.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	+5.5%$17 more	-3.9%$12 less	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Space Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 216 launches.

Launches counted: 2167 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.2 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings: $307top tenth $17,897+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 216 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 2087 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $324
Chance against standard: +3.8%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +5.5%$17 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Star Trucker (38.6% of the money): 215 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 2156 hits
Earned $100k+: 2.8 in 1001 in 36
Typical first-year earnings: $295
Chance against standard: -13.9%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -3.9%$12 less

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 62 of 216.

Launches counted: 621 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 62too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -50.2%1.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Space Sim, 12 to 36 months old: 216 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 216 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Star Trucker (38.6% of the money): 215 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 62 of 216.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Sci-fi + Space Sim moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.