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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Sci-fi + Space

Niche

Sci-fi + Space

Games tagged both Sci-fi and Space: 279 indie paid launches, 22 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Sci-fi + Space priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Sci-fi and is about level with Space; priced $10 to $20 it beats Sci-fi and is about level with Space.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Sci-fi + Space beats Sci-fi and is about level with Space: 18.9 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.9 in 100 for Sci-fi and 18.7 in 100 for Space.

That is about 1.1 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.

3RDThird
Tag onemood tagSci-fi
14.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds14.9 in 100
Typical earnings$6,837
Launches241 / 36 hits
Pair leads by3.9 in 100
TIEA tie
This pairSci-fi + Space
18.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds18.9 in 100
Typical earnings$6,210
Launches53 / 10 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoSpace
18.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds18.7 in 100
Typical earnings$7,527
Launches107 / 20 hits
A tie, apart by0.2 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Sci-fi is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices279 in pairUnder $5133 in pair$5 to $1079 in pair$10 to $2053 in pair$20 to $4014 in pair
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 53 games tagged both Sci-fi and Space priced $10 to $20. 18.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 13.8 in 100 for Sci-fi-only games and 18.5 in 100 for Space-only games, so the mix beats Sci-fi alone and is about level with Space alone.

Both: 53 games priced $10 to $20; 18.9 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $6,210.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 53 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collectionleads this pair20.5%
PairSTAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection20.5%
Sci-fiLethal Company36.8%
SpaceSTAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection14.4%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Sci-fi + Space

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection earned 20.5% of the estimated first-year money of the 279 Sci-fi + Space launches.
  • Sci-fi is led by Lethal Company, with 36.8% of its money.
  • It also leads Space, with 14.4% of that tag's money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Sci-fi + Space holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Sci-fi + Space through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view269 of 279 launchesWithout the breakout278 of 279 launchesLast 18 months69 of 279 launches
Launches counted27922 hits26921 hits27821 hits695 hits
Earned $100k+7.9 in 1001 in 137.8 in 1001 in 137.6 in 1001 in 137.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$337top tenth $38,843+$337$337$230
Chance against standardthe base-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100-4.2%0.3 fewer in 100-8.1%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base0.0%no change0.0%no change-31.8%$107 less; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Sci-fi and Space, 12 to 36 months old: 279 launches.

Launches counted
27922 hits
Earned $100k+
7.9 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$337top tenth $38,843+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
26921 hits
Earned $100k+
7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$337
Chance against standard
-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection (20.5% of the money): 278 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
27821 hits
Earned $100k+
7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$337
Chance against standard
-4.2%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 69 of 279.

Launches counted
695 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$230
Chance against standard
-8.1%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-31.8%$107 less; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Sci-fi and Space, 12 to 36 months old: 279 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 279 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection (20.5% of the money): 278 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 69 of 279.

Sci-fi holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Sci-fi through every lens, all prices
Sci-fiBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,187 of 1,222 launchesWithout the breakout1,221 of 1,222 launchesLast 18 months335 of 1,222 launches
Launches counted1,22291 hits1,18787 hits1,22190 hits33524 hits
Earned $100k+7.4 in 1001 in 137.3 in 1001 in 147.4 in 1001 in 147.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$548top tenth $54,155+$544$548$517
Chance against standardthe base-1.6%0.1 fewer in 100-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100-3.8%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base-0.7%$4 less0.0%no change-5.7%$31 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 1,222 launches.

Launches counted
1,22291 hits
Earned $100k+
7.4 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$548top tenth $54,155+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 35 of 1,222 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,18787 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$544
Chance against standard
-1.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.7%$4 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Lethal Company (36.8% of the money): 1,221 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,22190 hits
Earned $100k+
7.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$548
Chance against standard
-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 335 of 1,222.

Launches counted
33524 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$517
Chance against standard
-3.8%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-5.7%$31 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 1,222 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 35 of 1,222 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Lethal Company (36.8% of the money): 1,221 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 335 of 1,222.

Space holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Space through every lens, all prices
SpaceBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view659 of 683 launchesWithout the breakout682 of 683 launchesLast 18 months185 of 683 launches
Launches counted68338 hits65937 hits68237 hits18511 hits
Earned $100k+5.6 in 1001 in 185.6 in 1001 in 185.4 in 1001 in 185.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings$253top tenth $20,408+$268$253$229
Chance against standardthe base+0.9%0.1 more in 100-2.5%0.1 fewer in 100+6.9%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+5.9%$15 more0.0%no change-9.5%$24 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Space, 12 to 36 months old: 683 launches.

Launches counted
68338 hits
Earned $100k+
5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$253top tenth $20,408+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 683 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
65937 hits
Earned $100k+
5.6 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$268
Chance against standard
+0.9%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+5.9%$15 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection (14.4% of the money): 682 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
68237 hits
Earned $100k+
5.4 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings
$253
Chance against standard
-2.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 185 of 683.

Launches counted
18511 hits
Earned $100k+
5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$229
Chance against standard
+6.9%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard
-9.5%$24 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Space, 12 to 36 months old: 683 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 683 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection (14.4% of the money): 682 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 185 of 683.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Sci-fi + Space moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.