Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Simulation + Card Game: a typical launch earns $485 in its first year

That is the median of 63 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 11 of 125 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 54% on the year before: 128 against 83.

China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese

Price: $485
Price vs a year earlier: −61.3%
Releases, 12 months: 128
Upcoming games: 260
Games on the store: 659

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Simulation + Card Game on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.06%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.02% to 0.13%	9 ranked of 260 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#6,079 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese Listed after unflagged rows on this board	1.41xhits against expected	0.99x to 2.06x	125 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,895 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure	−15%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−31% to +5%	27 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,867 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	−5%review growth against same-age games	−14% to +6%	27 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#2,278 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 11
Expected: 6.9

Launches: 125
Hit rate: 8.8%4.8% to 15.7%
Expected rate: 5.5%
Against expected: 1.41x0.99x to 2.06x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

125 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $505
Top tenth: $63,564

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 128
Prior 12 months: 83

Change: +54%
Against Steam: +12%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

SimulationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Card GameGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Simulation

pairs with Simulation

Simulation + Shop Keeper$32,26936 launches priced, 330 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Online Co-Op$11,02868 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Multiplayer$8,980122 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Base Building$7,38289 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Economy$6,979210 launches priced, 540 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Simulation

More with Card Game

pairs with Card Game

Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,32394 launches priced, 164 releases in 12 months
Card Game + Auto Battler$2,67141 launches priced, 78 releases in 12 months
Card Game + Roguelite$2,214162 launches priced, 351 releases in 12 months
Card Game + Dungeon Crawler$1,96232 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months
Card Game + Roguelike$1,821201 launches priced, 431 releases in 12 months
Card Game + Turn-Based$1,61733 launches priced, 43 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Card Game

Verdicts

in development

GMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.