Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Simulation / Gambling
Simulation + Gambling: 78 releases in the last 12 months
There is no price yet: it needs 30 or more indie paid launches in the last four complete quarters. 5 of 51 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 1.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 144% on the year before: 78 against 32.
- Price
- n/a under 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- n/a no price
- Releases, 12 months
- 78 32 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 103 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 284 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 5 or more wishlist-ranked upcoming games. | |||
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.91xhits against expected | 1.31x to 3.00x | 51 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #214 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 51
- Hit rate
- 9.8%0.0% to 15.1%
- Expected rate
- 2.3%
- Against expected
- 1.91x1.31x to 3.00x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
51 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $60
- Median
- $808
- Top tenth
- $53,930
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +144%
Parent tags
- SimulationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- GamblingGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Scritchy Scratchy (opens the Steam store)2026 · 15,717 reviews, 94% positiveest. $2.1M
- Horsey Game (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,961 reviews, 97% positiveest. $599k
- Fortune Mill (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,816 reviews, 81% positiveest. $593k
- Space Warlord Baby Trading Simulator (opens the Steam store)2026 · 518 reviews, 91% positiveest. $210k
- KEEP GAMBLING (opens the Steam store)2025 · 976 reviews, 74% positiveest. $154k
- Unfair Flips (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,546 reviews, 88% positiveest. $103k
- Slots & Diapers (opens the Steam store)2026 · 546 reviews, 88% positiveest. $77k
- Plinbo: Roguelike Plinko (opens the Steam store)2026 · 381 reviews, 66% positiveest. $54k
More with Simulation
pairs with Simulation- Simulation + Shop Keeper$32,26936 launches priced, 330 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Online Co-Op$11,02868 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Multiplayer$8,980122 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Base Building$7,38289 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Economy$6,979210 launches priced, 540 releases in 12 months
More with Gambling
pairs with Gambling- Casual + Gambling$29340 launches priced, 121 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Gamblingno price109 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Gamblingno price72 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Gamblingno price61 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + Gamblingno price59 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Gamblingno price53 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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