Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Simulation + Roguelite: a typical launch earns $1,011 in its first year

That is the median of 61 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 14 of 145 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 140% on the year before: 161 against 67.

Price: $1,011
Price vs a year earlier: −26.8%
Releases, 12 months: 161
Upcoming games: 425
Games on the store: 794

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Simulation + Roguelite on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.27%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.18% to 0.39%	29 ranked of 426 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#842 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.57xhits against expected	1.13x to 2.21x	145 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#595 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	−55%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−65% to −38%	24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#2,334 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	−23%review growth against same-age games	−32% to −13%	24 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#1,566 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 14
Expected: 7.8

Launches: 145
Hit rate: 9.7%6.4% to 20.2%
Expected rate: 5.4%
Against expected: 1.57x1.13x to 2.21x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

145 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $20
Median: $1,224
Top tenth: $87,599

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 161
Prior 12 months: 67

Change: +140%
Against Steam: +70%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

SimulationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
RogueliteGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Simulation

pairs with Simulation

Simulation + Shop Keeper$32,26936 launches priced, 330 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Online Co-Op$11,02868 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Multiplayer$8,980122 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Base Building$7,38289 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
Simulation + Economy$6,979210 launches priced, 540 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Simulation

More with Roguelite

pairs with Roguelite

Roguelite + Bullet Heaven$12,77652 launches priced, 181 releases in 12 months
Roguelite + Roguelike Deckbuilder$9,65574 launches priced, 161 releases in 12 months
FPS + Roguelite$5,46236 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
Co-op + Roguelite$4,52138 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
Roguelite + Female Protagonist$4,27345 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
Roguelite + Anime$4,27333 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Roguelite

Verdicts

in development

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