Niche

Simulation + Space

Games tagged both Simulation and Space: 98 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Simulation + Space priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Simulation and is about level with Space; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Simulation and is too small to compare with Space.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Simulation + Space is too small to compare with Simulation and is too small to compare with Space: 3 of its 19 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 23.5 in 100 for Simulation and 19.4 in 100 for Space.

Small sample: 19 launches, 3 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneSimulation

23.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds23.5 in 100

Typical earnings$15,885

Launches865 / 203 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairSimulation + Space

3 of 19launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds3 of 19 launches

$1k+14 of 19 launches

$10k+7 of 19 launches

Launches19 / 3 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIETied

Tag twoSpace

19.4in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds19.4 in 100

Typical earnings$10,036

Launches108 / 21 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices98 in pair Under $548 in pair $5 to $1027 in pair $10 to $2019 in pair$20 to $404: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 19 games tagged both Simulation and Space priced $10 to $20. 3 of 19 of them earned $100k+, against 23.6 in 100 for Simulation-only games and 20.2 in 100 for Space-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Simulation alone and is too small to compare with Space alone.

Both: 19 games priced $10 to $20; 3 of 19 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 14 of 19 launches · $10k+ 7 of 19 launches · $100k+ 3 of 19 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 19 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Space Engineers 2leads this pair43.0%

PairSpace Engineers 243.0%

SimulationSchedule I19.1%

SpaceSTAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection14.6%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Simulation + Space

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Space Engineers 2 earned 43.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 98 Simulation + Space launches.
Simulation is led by Schedule I, with 19.1% of its money.
Space is led by STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection, with 14.6% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Simulation + Space holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Simulation + Space through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view97 of 98 launches	Without the breakout97 of 98 launches	Last 18 months31 of 98 launches
Launches counted	985 hits	975 hits	974 hits	311 hits
Earned $100k+	5.1 in 1001 in 20	5.2 in 1001 in 19	4 of 97too few for a rate	1 of 31too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	12 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 36 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+1.0%0.1 more in 100	-19.2%1.0 fewer in 100	-36.8%1.9 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Simulation and Space, 12 to 36 months old: 98 launches.

Launches counted: 985 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.1 in 1001 in 20
Chance of $10k+: 12 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 36 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 98 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 975 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.2 in 1001 in 19
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +1.0%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Space Engineers 2 (43.0% of the money): 97 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 974 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 97too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -19.2%1.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 31 of 98.

Launches counted: 311 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 31too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -36.8%1.9 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Simulation and Space, 12 to 36 months old: 98 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 98 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Space Engineers 2 (43.0% of the money): 97 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 31 of 98.

Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Simulation through every lens, all prices
Simulation	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view4,264 of 4,518 launches	Without the breakout4,517 of 4,518 launches	Last 18 months1,367 of 4,518 launches
Launches counted	4,518406 hits	4,264387 hits	4,517405 hits	1,367121 hits
Earned $100k+	9.0 in 1001 in 11	9.1 in 1001 in 11	9.0 in 1001 in 11	8.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings	$926top tenth $82,841+	$1,005	$925	$936
Chance against standard	the base	+1.0%0.1 more in 100	-0.2%no change	-1.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+8.5%$79 more	-0.1%$1 less	+1.1%$10 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,518 launches.

Launches counted: 4,518406 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $926top tenth $82,841+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 254 of 4,518 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 4,264387 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,005
Chance against standard: +1.0%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +8.5%$79 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (19.1% of the money): 4,517 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 4,517405 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $925
Chance against standard: -0.2%no change
Typical against standard: -0.1%$1 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,367 of 4,518.

Launches counted: 1,367121 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $936
Chance against standard: -1.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +1.1%$10 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,518 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 254 of 4,518 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (19.1% of the money): 4,517 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,367 of 4,518.

Space holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Space through every lens, all prices
Space	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view663 of 689 launches	Without the breakout688 of 689 launches	Last 18 months176 of 689 launches
Launches counted	68942 hits	66341 hits	68841 hits	17610 hits
Earned $100k+	6.1 in 1001 in 16	6.2 in 1001 in 16	6.0 in 1001 in 17	5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings	$278top tenth $27,664+	$295	$278	$218
Chance against standard	the base	+1.4%0.1 more in 100	-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100	-6.8%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+6.1%$17 more	0.0%no change	-21.6%$60 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Space, 12 to 36 months old: 689 launches.

Launches counted: 68942 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.1 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $278top tenth $27,664+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 689 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 66341 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $295
Chance against standard: +1.4%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +6.1%$17 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection (14.6% of the money): 688 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 68841 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $278
Chance against standard: -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 176 of 689.

Launches counted: 17610 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.7 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $218
Chance against standard: -6.8%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -21.6%$60 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Space, 12 to 36 months old: 689 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 689 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection (14.6% of the money): 688 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 176 of 689.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Simulation + Space moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.