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on 11 Nov 2026

Niches / Simulation + Third Person

Niche

Simulation + Third Person

Games tagged both Simulation and Third Person: 218 indie paid launches, 17 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Simulation + Third Person priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Simulation and is about level with Third Person; priced $10 to $20 it is about level with Simulation and beats Third Person.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Simulation + Third Person is about level with Simulation and beats Third Person: 22.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 23.5 in 100 for Simulation and 17.6 in 100 for Third Person.

That is about 1.1 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

TIEA tie
Tag oneSimulation
23.5in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds23.5 in 100
Typical earnings$15,885
Launches865 / 203 hits
A tie, apart by0.7 in 100
TIEA tie
This pairSimulation + Third Person
22.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds22.7 in 100
$1k+82 in 100
$10k+36 in 100
Launches44 / 10 hits
Expected20.5 in 100
3RDThird
Tag twomood tagThird Person
17.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds17.6 in 100
Typical earnings$5,741
Launches244 / 43 hits
Pair leads by5.1 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Third Person is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices218 in pairUnder $5104 in pair$5 to $1054 in pair$10 to $2044 in pair$20 to $4016 in pair
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 44 games tagged both Simulation and Third Person priced $10 to $20. 22.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 23.5 in 100 for Simulation-only games and 16.5 in 100 for Third Person-only games, so the mix is about level with Simulation alone and beats Third Person alone.

Both: 44 games priced $10 to $20; 22.7 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 82 in 100 · $10k+ 36 in 100 · $100k+ 23 in 100.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 44 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Gameleads this pair23.5%
PairRooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game23.5%
SimulationSchedule I19.1%
Third PersonThe Forever Winter13.9%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Simulation + Third Person

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game earned 23.5% of the estimated first-year money of the 218 Simulation + Third Person launches.
  • Simulation is led by Schedule I, with 19.1% of its money.
  • Third Person is led by The Forever Winter, with 13.9% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Simulation + Third Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Simulation + Third Person through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view213 of 218 launchesWithout the breakout217 of 218 launchesLast 18 months56 of 218 launches
Launches counted21817 hits21317 hits21716 hits566 hits
Earned $100k+7.8 in 1001 in 138.0 in 1001 in 137.4 in 1001 in 1410.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$654top tenth $53,286+$674$632under 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+2.3%0.2 more in 100-5.4%0.4 fewer in 100+37.4%2.9 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+3.1%$20 more-3.4%$22 lessunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Simulation and Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 218 launches.

Launches counted
21817 hits
Earned $100k+
7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$654top tenth $53,286+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 218 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
21317 hits
Earned $100k+
8.0 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$674
Chance against standard
+2.3%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+3.1%$20 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game (23.5% of the money): 217 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
21716 hits
Earned $100k+
7.4 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$632
Chance against standard
-5.4%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-3.4%$22 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 56 of 218.

Launches counted
566 hits
Earned $100k+
10.7 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+37.4%2.9 more in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Simulation and Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 218 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 218 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game (23.5% of the money): 217 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 56 of 218.

Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Simulation through every lens, all prices
SimulationBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view4,264 of 4,518 launchesWithout the breakout4,517 of 4,518 launchesLast 18 months1,367 of 4,518 launches
Launches counted4,518406 hits4,264387 hits4,517405 hits1,367121 hits
Earned $100k+9.0 in 1001 in 119.1 in 1001 in 119.0 in 1001 in 118.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings$926top tenth $82,841+$1,005$925$936
Chance against standardthe base+1.0%0.1 more in 100-0.2%no change-1.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+8.5%$79 more-0.1%$1 less+1.1%$10 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,518 launches.

Launches counted
4,518406 hits
Earned $100k+
9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$926top tenth $82,841+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 254 of 4,518 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4,264387 hits
Earned $100k+
9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,005
Chance against standard
+1.0%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+8.5%$79 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (19.1% of the money): 4,517 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
4,517405 hits
Earned $100k+
9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$925
Chance against standard
-0.2%no change
Typical against standard
-0.1%$1 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,367 of 4,518.

Launches counted
1,367121 hits
Earned $100k+
8.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$936
Chance against standard
-1.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+1.1%$10 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,518 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 254 of 4,518 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (19.1% of the money): 4,517 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,367 of 4,518.

Third Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Third Person through every lens, all prices
Third PersonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,448 of 1,502 launchesWithout the breakout1,501 of 1,502 launchesLast 18 months422 of 1,502 launches
Launches counted1,50288 hits1,44886 hits1,50187 hits42226 hits
Earned $100k+5.9 in 1001 in 175.9 in 1001 in 175.8 in 1001 in 176.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings$300top tenth $27,197+$319$300$300
Chance against standardthe base+1.4%0.1 more in 100-1.1%0.1 fewer in 100+5.2%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+6.3%$19 more0.0%no change0.0%no change
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 1,502 launches.

Launches counted
1,50288 hits
Earned $100k+
5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$300top tenth $27,197+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 54 of 1,502 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,44886 hits
Earned $100k+
5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$319
Chance against standard
+1.4%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+6.3%$19 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (13.9% of the money): 1,501 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,50187 hits
Earned $100k+
5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$300
Chance against standard
-1.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 422 of 1,502.

Launches counted
42226 hits
Earned $100k+
6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$300
Chance against standard
+5.2%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 1,502 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 54 of 1,502 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (13.9% of the money): 1,501 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 422 of 1,502.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Simulation + Third Person moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.