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on 11 Nov 2026

Niches / Simulation + Trading

Niche

Simulation + Trading

Games tagged both Simulation and Trading: 78 indie paid launches, 17 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Simulation + Trading priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Simulation + Trading beats both its tags: 42.9 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 23.5 in 100 for Simulation and 28.8 in 100 for Trading.

That is about 2.1 times the 20.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

3RDThird
Tag oneSimulation
23.5in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds23.5 in 100
Typical earnings$15,885
Launches865 / 203 hits
Pair leads by19.4 in 100
1STWinner
This pairSimulation + Trading
42.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds42.9 in 100
$1k+91 in 100
$10k+86 in 100
Launches35 / 15 hits
Expected20.5 in 100
2NDRunner-up
Tag twoTrading
28.8in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds28.8 in 100
$1k+95 in 100
$10k+78 in 100
Launches59 / 17 hits
Pair leads by14.0 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2.5 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices78 in pairUnder $522 in pair$5 to $1020 in pair$10 to $2035 in pair$20 to $401: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 35 games tagged both Simulation and Trading priced $10 to $20. 42.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 22.7 in 100 for Simulation-only games and 2 of 24 for Trading-only games, so the mix beats Simulation alone and is too small to compare with Trading alone.

Both: 35 games priced $10 to $20; 42.9 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 91 in 100 · $10k+ 86 in 100 · $100k+ 43 in 100.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 35 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Supermarket Simulatorleads this pair50.3%
PairSupermarket Simulator50.3%
SimulationSchedule I19.1%
TradingSupermarket Simulator47.0%
CheckOne game over half?yes
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Simulation + Trading

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Supermarket Simulator earned 50.3% of the estimated first-year money of the 78 Simulation + Trading launches.
  • Simulation is led by Schedule I, with 19.1% of its money.
  • It also leads Trading, with 47.0% of that tag's money.
  • One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Simulation + Trading is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.

Simulation + Trading through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view74 of 78 launchesWithout the breakout77 of 78 launchesLast 18 months29 of 78 launches
Launches counted7817 hits7417 hits7716 hits295 hits
Earned $100k+21.8 in 10023.0 in 10020.8 in 1005 of 29too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+47 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 72 in 100under 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+5.4%1.2 more in 100-4.7%1.0 fewer in 100-20.9%4.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe baseunder 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsMoves the answerHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Simulation and Trading, 12 to 36 months old: 78 launches.

Launches counted
7817 hits
Earned $100k+
21.8 in 100
Chance of $10k+
47 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 72 in 100
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 78 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
7417 hits
Earned $100k+
23.0 in 100
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+5.4%1.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Supermarket Simulator (50.3% of the money): 77 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
7716 hits
Earned $100k+
20.8 in 100
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-4.7%1.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 29 of 78.

Launches counted
295 hits
Earned $100k+
5 of 29too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-20.9%4.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Simulation and Trading, 12 to 36 months old: 78 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 78 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Supermarket Simulator (50.3% of the money): 77 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 29 of 78.

Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Simulation through every lens, all prices
SimulationBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view4,264 of 4,518 launchesWithout the breakout4,517 of 4,518 launchesLast 18 months1,367 of 4,518 launches
Launches counted4,518406 hits4,264387 hits4,517405 hits1,367121 hits
Earned $100k+9.0 in 1001 in 119.1 in 1001 in 119.0 in 1001 in 118.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings$926top tenth $82,841+$1,005$925$936
Chance against standardthe base+1.0%0.1 more in 100-0.2%no change-1.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+8.5%$79 more-0.1%$1 less+1.1%$10 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,518 launches.

Launches counted
4,518406 hits
Earned $100k+
9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$926top tenth $82,841+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 254 of 4,518 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4,264387 hits
Earned $100k+
9.1 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,005
Chance against standard
+1.0%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+8.5%$79 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (19.1% of the money): 4,517 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
4,517405 hits
Earned $100k+
9.0 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$925
Chance against standard
-0.2%no change
Typical against standard
-0.1%$1 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,367 of 4,518.

Launches counted
1,367121 hits
Earned $100k+
8.9 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$936
Chance against standard
-1.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+1.1%$10 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,518 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 254 of 4,518 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (19.1% of the money): 4,517 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,367 of 4,518.

Trading holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Trading through every lens, all prices
TradingBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view124 of 134 launchesWithout the breakout133 of 134 launchesLast 18 months49 of 134 launches
Launches counted13424 hits12424 hits13323 hits499 hits
Earned $100k+17.9 in 10019.4 in 10017.3 in 10018.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings$6,959top tenth $217,174+$8,595$6,947under 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+8.1%1.4 more in 100-3.4%0.6 fewer in 100+2.6%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+23.5%$1,636 more-0.2%$12 lessunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Trading, 12 to 36 months old: 134 launches.

Launches counted
13424 hits
Earned $100k+
17.9 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$6,959top tenth $217,174+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 134 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
12424 hits
Earned $100k+
19.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$8,595
Chance against standard
+8.1%1.4 more in 100
Typical against standard
+23.5%$1,636 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Supermarket Simulator (47.0% of the money): 133 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
13323 hits
Earned $100k+
17.3 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$6,947
Chance against standard
-3.4%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.2%$12 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 49 of 134.

Launches counted
499 hits
Earned $100k+
18.4 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+2.6%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Trading, 12 to 36 months old: 134 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 134 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Supermarket Simulator (47.0% of the money): 133 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 49 of 134.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Simulation + Trading moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.