Niches / Third Person + Walking Simulator

Niche

Third Person + Walking Simulator

Games tagged both Third Person and Walking Simulator: 76 indie paid launches, 3 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,758 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 2 Nov 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 230 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2021 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,758 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20

Showing Third Person + Walking Simulator priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Third Person + Walking Simulator is too small to compare with Third Person and is too small to compare with Walking Simulator: 1 of its 10 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 17.6 in 100 for Third Person and 21.1 in 100 for Walking Simulator.

Small sample: 10 launches, 1 hits.

TIETied

Tag onemood tagThird Person

17.6in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds17.6 in 100

Typical earnings$5,741

Launches244 / 43 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairThird Person + Walking Simulator

1 of 10launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 10 launches

$1k+7 of 10 launches

$10k+4 of 10 launches

Launches10 / 1 hits

Expected20.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoWalking Simulator

21.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds21.1 in 100

$1k+86 in 100

$10k+54 in 100

Launches95 / 20 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.5 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $11,233, from 4,337 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Third Person is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices76 in pair Under $552 in pair $5 to $1012 in pair $10 to $2010 in pair$20 to $402: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 10 games tagged both Third Person and Walking Simulator priced $10 to $20. 1 of 10 of them earned $100k+, against 17.9 in 100 for Third Person-only games and 22.4 in 100 for Walking Simulator-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Third Person alone and is too small to compare with Walking Simulator alone.

Both: 10 games priced $10 to $20; 1 of 10 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 7 of 10 launches · $10k+ 4 of 10 launches · $100k+ 1 of 10 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 10 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Baby Stepsleads this pair44.5%

PairBaby Steps44.5%

Third PersonThe Forever Winter13.9%

Walking SimulatorThe Talos Principle 218.3%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Third Person + Walking Simulator

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Baby Steps earned 44.5% of the estimated first-year money of the 76 Third Person + Walking Simulator launches.
Third Person is led by The Forever Winter, with 13.9% of its money.
Walking Simulator is led by The Talos Principle 2, with 18.3% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Third Person + Walking Simulator holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Third Person + Walking Simulator through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view71 of 76 launches	Without the breakout75 of 76 launches	Last 18 months20 of 76 launches
Launches counted	763 hits	713 hits	752 hits	202 hits
Earned $100k+	3 of 76too few for a rate	3 of 71too few for a rate	2 of 75too few for a rate	2 of 20too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+	9 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 26 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+7.0%0.3 more in 100; too few to tell	-32.4%1.3 fewer in 100	+153.3%6.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Third Person and Walking Simulator, 12 to 36 months old: 76 launches.

Launches counted: 763 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 76too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 9 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 26 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 76 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 713 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 71too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +7.0%0.3 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Baby Steps (44.5% of the money): 75 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 752 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 75too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: -32.4%1.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 20 of 76.

Launches counted: 202 hits
Earned $100k+: 2 of 20too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +153.3%6.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Third Person and Walking Simulator, 12 to 36 months old: 76 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 76 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Baby Steps (44.5% of the money): 75 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 20 of 76.

Third Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Third Person through every lens, all prices
Third Person	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,448 of 1,502 launches	Without the breakout1,501 of 1,502 launches	Last 18 months422 of 1,502 launches
Launches counted	1,50288 hits	1,44886 hits	1,50187 hits	42226 hits
Earned $100k+	5.9 in 1001 in 17	5.9 in 1001 in 17	5.8 in 1001 in 17	6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings	$300top tenth $27,197+	$319	$300	$300
Chance against standard	the base	+1.4%0.1 more in 100	-1.1%0.1 fewer in 100	+5.2%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+6.3%$19 more	0.0%no change	0.0%no change
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 1,502 launches.

Launches counted: 1,50288 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $300top tenth $27,197+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 54 of 1,502 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,44886 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $319
Chance against standard: +1.4%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +6.3%$19 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (13.9% of the money): 1,501 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,50187 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $300
Chance against standard: -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 422 of 1,502.

Launches counted: 42226 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $300
Chance against standard: +5.2%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 1,502 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 54 of 1,502 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (13.9% of the money): 1,501 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 422 of 1,502.

Walking Simulator holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Walking Simulator through every lens, all prices
Walking Simulator	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,369 of 1,429 launches	Without the breakout1,428 of 1,429 launches	Last 18 months449 of 1,429 launches
Launches counted	1,42950 hits	1,36950 hits	1,42849 hits	44915 hits
Earned $100k+	3.5 in 1001 in 29	3.7 in 1001 in 27	3.4 in 1001 in 29	3.3 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings	$906top tenth $16,441+	$925	$906	$799
Chance against standard	the base	+4.4%0.2 more in 100	-1.9%0.1 fewer in 100	-4.5%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+2.1%$19 more	0.0%no change	-11.8%$107 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Walking Simulator, 12 to 36 months old: 1,429 launches.

Launches counted: 1,42950 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $906top tenth $16,441+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 60 of 1,429 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,36950 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.7 in 1001 in 27
Typical first-year earnings: $925
Chance against standard: +4.4%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: +2.1%$19 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Talos Principle 2 (18.3% of the money): 1,428 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1,42849 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $906
Chance against standard: -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 449 of 1,429.

Launches counted: 44915 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.3 in 1001 in 30
Typical first-year earnings: $799
Chance against standard: -4.5%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -11.8%$107 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Walking Simulator, 12 to 36 months old: 1,429 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 60 of 1,429 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, The Talos Principle 2 (18.3% of the money): 1,428 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 449 of 1,429.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Third Person + Walking Simulator moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

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