Best niches
$10 to $20Pairs with the best chance of $100k+, above the base rateFree until launch
Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches 3 Oct
Of 1,116 niches with 30+ launches at $10 to $20, 511 beat the 20 in 100 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 238 under $5, 44 in 100 at $20 to $40.511 of 1,116 niches beat the 20 in 100 base rate.511 beat the base rate.
Typical launch, all prices, first year $552
Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.
Indie paid Steam launches 12 to 36 months old, data 3 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer. The revenue estimate is soft: about 6 to 7.5 in 100 launches overall.
Pairs with the best chance of $100k+, above the base rateFree until launch
1,116 of 4,635 niches have 30+ launches at $10 to $20. 396 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, lowest first.
| Rank# | Niche | Chance of $100k+ | Typical year | Top 1 in 10 | Launches | Markers | Pin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games at $10 to $20the base rate: the row to beat | 20 in 100878 of 4,304 | $10,978 | $287,297 | 4,304 | |||
| 1 | 2D + Hidden Objectnone of 71 launches earned $100k+ | 0 of 71no hits | under 100 | under 100 | 71 | none | Pin 2D + Hidden Object |
| 2 | Hidden Object + Point & Click2 of 80 launches earned $100k+ | 2 of 802 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 80 | none | Pin Hidden Object + Point & Click |
| 3 | Arcade + Casual4 of 124 launches earned $100k+ | 4 of 1244 hits | $1,150 | $18,907 | 124 | none | Pin Arcade + Casual |
| 4 | Adventure + Puzzle Platformer2 of 62 launches earned $100k+ | 2 of 622 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 62 | none | Pin Adventure + Puzzle Platformer |
| 5 | Casual + Point & Click1 in 25 earned $100k+, from 126 launches | 1 in 255 hits | $2,044 | $43,725 | 126 | none | Pin Casual + Point & Click |
| 6 | Adventure + Hidden Object4 of 98 launches earned $100k+ | 4 of 984 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 98 | none | Pin Adventure + Hidden Object |
| 7 | Casual + Hidden Object1 in 21 earned $100k+, from 107 launches | 1 in 215 hits | $1,328 | $20,735 | 107 | none | Pin Casual + Hidden Object |
| 8 | Hidden Object + Puzzle1 in 21 earned $100k+, from 126 launches | 1 in 216 hits | $1,533 | $37,244 | 126 | none | Pin Hidden Object + Puzzle |
| 9 | Adventure + Cartoony3 of 58 launches earned $100k+ | 3 of 583 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 58 | none | Pin Adventure + Cartoony |
| 10 | 3D + 3D Platformer1 in 19 earned $100k+, from 95 launches | 1 in 195 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 95 | none | Pin 3D + 3D Platformer |
| 11 | 3D + Sports3 of 55 launches earned $100k+ | 3 of 553 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 55 | none | Pin 3D + Sports |
| 12 | Casual + Visual Novel1 in 18 earned $100k+, from 145 launches | 1 in 188 hits | $4,170 | $61,149 | 145 | none | Pin Casual + Visual Novel |
| 13 | Casual + Fantasy1 in 18 earned $100k+, from 105 launches | 1 in 186 hits | $1,803 | $52,382 | 105 | none | Pin Casual + Fantasy |
| 14 | 2D + Linear2 of 30 launches earned $100k+ | 2 of 302 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 30 | Small | Pin 2D + Linear |
| 15 | Arcade + Pixel Graphics3 of 44 launches earned $100k+ | 3 of 443 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 44 | Small | Pin Arcade + Pixel Graphics |
| 16 | Casual + Interactive Fiction4 of 58 launches earned $100k+ | 4 of 584 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 58 | none | Pin Casual + Interactive Fiction |
| 17 | Action-Adventure + Casual1 in 14 earned $100k+, from 68 launches | 1 in 145 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 68 | none | Pin Action-Adventure + Casual |
| 18 | Exploration + Hidden Object4 of 52 launches earned $100k+ | 4 of 524 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 52 | none | Pin Exploration + Hidden Object |
| 19 | 2D + Turn-Based Tactics1 in 13 earned $100k+, from 64 launches | 1 in 135 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 64 | none | Pin 2D + Turn-Based Tactics |
| 20 | Anime + Casual1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 109 launches | 1 in 129 hits | $5,688 | $72,223 | 109 | none | Pin Anime + Casual |
| 21 | Fantasy + Story Rich1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 95 launches | 1 in 128 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 95 | none | Pin Fantasy + Story Rich |
| 22 | Casual + Strategy1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 188 launches | 1 in 1216 hits | $3,042 | $78,162 | 188 | none | Pin Casual + Strategy |
| 23 | 2D + Fantasy1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 140 launches | 1 in 1212 hits | $3,346 | $89,036 | 140 | none | Pin 2D + Fantasy |
| 24 | 2D + Dating Sim1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 70 launches | 1 in 126 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 70 | none | Pin 2D + Dating Sim |
| 25 | Adventure + Casual1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 346 launches | 1 in 1230 hits | $2,705 | $61,189 | 346 | none | Pin Adventure + Casual |
Under 30 launches or 5 hits a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.