Best niches
$10 to $20Pairs with the best chance of $100k+, above the base rateFree until launch
Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches 3 Oct
Of 3,337 niches with 10+ launches at $10 to $20, 511 beat the 20 in 100 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 238 under $5, 44 in 100 at $20 to $40.511 of 3,337 niches beat the 20 in 100 base rate.511 beat the base rate.
Typical launch, all prices, first year $552
Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.
Indie paid Steam launches 12 to 36 months old, data 3 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer. The revenue estimate is soft: about 6 to 7.5 in 100 launches overall.
Pairs with the best chance of $100k+, above the base rateFree until launch
3,337 of 4,635 niches have 10+ launches at $10 to $20. 534 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.
| Rank# | Niche | Chance of $100k+ | Typical year | Top 1 in 10 | Launches | Markers | Pin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games at $10 to $20the base rate: the row to beat | 20 in 100878 of 4,304 | $10,978 | $287,297 | 4,304 | |||
| 1 | Building + Cozy11 of 15 launches earned $100k+ | 11 of 1511 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 15 | Small | Pin Building + Cozy |
| 2 | Colorful + Cozy14 of 21 launches earned $100k+ | 14 of 2114 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 21 | Small | Pin Colorful + Cozy |
| 3 | Cinematic + FMV10 of 16 launches earned $100k+ | 10 of 1610 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 16 | Small | Pin Cinematic + FMV |
| 4 | FMV + Multiple Endings10 of 16 launches earned $100k+ | 10 of 1610 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 16 | Small | Pin FMV + Multiple Endings |
| 5 | Cozy + Farming Sim13 of 21 launches earned $100k+ | 13 of 2113 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 21 | Small | Pin Cozy + Farming Sim |
| 6 | Cozy + Sandbox9 of 15 launches earned $100k+ | 9 of 159 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 15 | Small | Pin Cozy + Sandbox |
| 7 | Co-op + Roguelike10 of 17 launches earned $100k+ | 10 of 1710 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 17 | Small | Pin Co-op + Roguelike |
| 8 | Exploration + Stealth9 of 16 launches earned $100k+ | 9 of 169 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 16 | Small | Pin Exploration + Stealth |
| 9 | Cozy + Simulation56 in 100 earned $100k+, from 36 launches | 56 in 10020 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 36 | Small | Pin Cozy + Simulation |
| 10 | Medieval + Sandbox10 of 18 launches earned $100k+ | 10 of 1810 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 18 | Small | Pin Medieval + Sandbox |
| 11 | Cinematic + Story Rich55 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches | 55 in 10017 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 31 | Small | Pin Cinematic + Story Rich |
| 12 | Automation + Economy6 of 11 launches earned $100k+ | 6 of 116 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 11 | Small | Pin Automation + Economy |
| 13 | Creature Collector + Relaxing6 of 11 launches earned $100k+ | 6 of 116 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 11 | Small | Pin Creature Collector + Relaxing |
| 14 | Co-op + FPS8 of 15 launches earned $100k+ | 8 of 158 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 15 | Small | Pin Co-op + FPS |
| 15 | Online Co-Op + Simulation53 in 100 earned $100k+, from 32 launches | 53 in 10017 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 32 | Small | Pin Online Co-Op + Simulation |
| 16 | Building + Multiplayer9 of 17 launches earned $100k+ | 9 of 179 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 17 | Small | Pin Building + Multiplayer |
| 17 | 3D + Online Co-Op10 of 19 launches earned $100k+ | 10 of 1910 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 19 | Small | Pin 3D + Online Co-Op |
| 18 | Action Roguelike + Co-op10 of 19 launches earned $100k+ | 10 of 1910 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 19 | Small | Pin Action Roguelike + Co-op |
| 19 | Building + Medieval10 of 19 launches earned $100k+ | 10 of 1910 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 19 | Small | Pin Building + Medieval |
| 20 | Cozy + Life Sim12 of 23 launches earned $100k+ | 12 of 2312 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 23 | Small | Pin Cozy + Life Sim |
| 21 | Life Sim + Open World52 in 100 earned $100k+, from 33 launches | 52 in 10017 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 33 | Small | Pin Life Sim + Open World |
| 22 | Economy + First-Person14 of 28 launches earned $100k+ | 14 of 2814 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 28 | Small | Pin Economy + First-Person |
| 23 | Multiplayer + Sandbox13 of 26 launches earned $100k+ | 13 of 2613 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 26 | Small | Pin Multiplayer + Sandbox |
| 24 | FMV + Interactive Fiction12 of 24 launches earned $100k+ | 12 of 2412 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 24 | Small | Pin FMV + Interactive Fiction |
| 25 | Colony Sim + Resource Management10 of 20 launches earned $100k+ | 10 of 2010 hits | under 100 | under 100 | 20 | Small | Pin Colony Sim + Resource Management |
Under 30 launches or 5 hits a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.