Niches / 1980s + Casual

Niche

1980s + Casual

Games tagged both 1980s and Casual: 165 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 30+ launches Reset

Showing 1980s + Casual priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is too small to compare with 1980s and is too small to compare with Casual; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

12 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.

TIEA tie

Tag one1980s

15.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds15.8 in 100

$1k+79 in 100

$10k+40 in 100

Launches57 / 9 hits

Pairno reading

--No reading

This pair1980s + Casual

--too few
to read

Odds--

Typical earnings--

Launches12

12 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.

TIEA tie

Tag twomood tagCasual

13.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds13.2 in 100

Typical earnings$3,966

Launches1,010 / 133 hits

Pairno reading

All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Casual is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices165 in pair Under $598 in pair $5 to $1037 in pair $10 to $2012 in pair $20 to $4018 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 12 games tagged both 1980s and Casual priced $10 to $20. 1 of 12 of them earned $100k+, against 17.8 in 100 for 1980s-only games and 13.2 in 100 for Casual-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 1980s alone and is too small to compare with Casual alone.

Both: 12 games priced $10 to $20; 1 of 12 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 8 of 12 launches · $10k+ 4 of 12 launches · $100k+ 1 of 12 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 12 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Blippo+leads this pair45.8%

PairBlippo+45.8%

1980sFive Nights at Freddy's: Into the Pit46.3%

CasualHouse Flipper 24.1%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 1980s + Casual

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Blippo+ earned 45.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 165 1980s + Casual launches.
1980s is led by Five Nights at Freddy's: Into the Pit, with 46.3% of its money.
Casual is led by House Flipper 2, with 4.1% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

1980s + Casual holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

1980s + Casual through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view160 of 165 launches	Without the breakout164 of 165 launches	Last 18 months53 of 165 launches
Launches counted	1651 hits	1601 hits	1640 hits	531 hits
Earned $100k+	1 of 165too few for a rate	1 of 160too few for a rate	0 of 164too few for a rate	1 of 53too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$40top tenth $2,250+	$40	$40	under 100 launches
Chance against standard	the base	+3.1%no change; too few to tell	-100.0%0.6 fewer in 100	+211.3%1.3 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	under 100 launches
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 1980s and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 165 launches.

Launches counted: 1651 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 165too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $40top tenth $2,250+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 165 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1601 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 160too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $40
Chance against standard: +3.1%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Blippo+ (45.8% of the money): 164 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 1640 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 164too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $40
Chance against standard: -100.0%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 53 of 165.

Launches counted: 531 hits
Earned $100k+: 1 of 53too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: +211.3%1.3 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both 1980s and Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 165 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 165 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Blippo+ (45.8% of the money): 164 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 53 of 165.

1980s is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

1980s through every lens, all prices
1980s	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view463 of 475 launches	Without the breakout474 of 475 launches	Last 18 months127 of 475 launches
Launches counted	47515 hits	46315 hits	47414 hits	1277 hits
Earned $100k+	3.2 in 1001 in 32	3.2 in 1001 in 31	3.0 in 1001 in 34	5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings	$223top tenth $9,743+	$207	$223	$379
Chance against standard	the base	+2.6%0.1 more in 100	-6.5%0.2 fewer in 100	+74.5%2.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	-7.2%$16 less	0.0%no change	+70.0%$156 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 1980s, 12 to 36 months old: 475 launches.

Launches counted: 47515 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.2 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings: $223top tenth $9,743+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 475 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 46315 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.2 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings: $207
Chance against standard: +2.6%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: -7.2%$16 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Five Nights at Freddy's: Into the Pit (46.3% of the money): 474 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 47414 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $223
Chance against standard: -6.5%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 127 of 475.

Launches counted: 1277 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.5 in 1001 in 18
Typical first-year earnings: $379
Chance against standard: +74.5%2.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +70.0%$156 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged 1980s, 12 to 36 months old: 475 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 475 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Five Nights at Freddy's: Into the Pit (46.3% of the money): 474 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 127 of 475.

Casual is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

Casual through every lens, all prices
Casual	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view9,216 of 9,755 launches	Without the breakout9,754 of 9,755 launches	Last 18 months2,936 of 9,755 launches
Launches counted	9,755291 hits	9,216272 hits	9,754290 hits	2,936122 hits
Earned $100k+	3.0 in 1001 in 34	3.0 in 1001 in 34	3.0 in 1001 in 34	4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings	$248top tenth $9,802+	$264	$248	$230
Chance against standard	the base	-1.1%no change	-0.3%no change	+39.3%1.2 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+6.5%$16 more	0.0%no change	-7.3%$18 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,755 launches.

Launches counted: 9,755291 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $248top tenth $9,802+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 539 of 9,755 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 9,216272 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $264
Chance against standard: -1.1%no change
Typical against standard: +6.5%$16 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (4.1% of the money): 9,754 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 9,754290 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.0 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings: $248
Chance against standard: -0.3%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,936 of 9,755.

Launches counted: 2,936122 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings: $230
Chance against standard: +39.3%1.2 more in 100
Typical against standard: -7.3%$18 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Casual, 12 to 36 months old: 9,755 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 539 of 9,755 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, House Flipper 2 (4.1% of the money): 9,754 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,936 of 9,755.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 1980s + Casual moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.