Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
3D + Surreal
Games tagged both 3D and Surreal: 169 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Surreal priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 3D and is about level with Surreal; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
17 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
17 launches, under your minimum sample of 30.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 17 games tagged both 3D and Surreal priced $10 to $20. 4 of 17 of them earned $100k+, against 13.3 in 100 for 3D-only games and 18.0 in 100 for Surreal-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with 3D alone and is too small to compare with Surreal alone.
Both: 17 games priced $10 to $20; 4 of 17 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $13,438.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 17 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Surreal holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view165 of 169 launches | Without the breakout168 of 169 launches | Last 18 months47 of 169 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1696 hits | 1656 hits | 1685 hits | 471 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 | 3.6 in 1001 in 28 | 3.0 in 1001 in 34 | 1 of 47too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $397top tenth $13,970+ | $401 | $397 | $484 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.4%0.1 more in 100 | -16.2%0.6 fewer in 100 | -40.1%1.4 fewer in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.0%$4 more | 0.0%no change | +21.9%$87 more; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Surreal, 12 to 36 months old: 169 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 169 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Exit 8 (19.4% of the money): 168 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 47 of 169.
3D holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,903 of 6,122 launches | Without the breakout6,121 of 6,122 launches | Last 18 months1,738 of 6,122 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,122236 hits | 5,903230 hits | 6,121235 hits | 1,73877 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.9 in 1001 in 26 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $354top tenth $13,485+ | $375 | $354 | $383 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.1%no change | -0.4%no change | +14.9%0.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +5.9%$21 more | 0.0%no change | +8.2%$29 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,122 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 219 of 6,122 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (18.3% of the money): 6,121 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,738 of 6,122.
Surreal holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Surreal | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view552 of 578 launches | Without the breakout577 of 578 launches | Last 18 months156 of 578 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 57831 hits | 55229 hits | 57730 hits | 1566 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 3.8 in 1001 in 26 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,019top tenth $36,298+ | $1,012 | $1,018 | $1,243 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -2.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -3.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | -28.3%1.5 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -0.7%$7 less | -0.1%$1 less | +22.0%$224 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Surreal, 12 to 36 months old: 578 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 578 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, INDIKA (12.6% of the money): 577 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 156 of 578.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Surreal moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.