Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Abstract + Simulation
Abstract + Simulation
Games tagged both Abstract and Simulation: 63 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Abstract + Simulation priced under $5, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced under $5 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
39 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
39 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 39 games tagged both Abstract and Simulation priced under $5. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.7 for Abstract-only games and 1.0 for Simulation-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 39 games priced under $5; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $403.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 39 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Abstract + Simulation is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view61 of 63 launches | Without the breakout62 of 63 launches | Last 18 months42 of 63 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 631 hits | 611 hits | 620 hits | 421 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.6 in 1001 in 63 | 1.6 in 1001 in 63 | 0.0 in 100 | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $647top tenth $7,837+ | $662 | $647 | $849 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -100.0%1.6 fewer in 100 | +50.0%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +2.3%$15 more | 0.0%no change | +31.2%$202 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Abstract and Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 63 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 63 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, No Players Online (41.1% of the money): 62 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 42 of 63.
Abstract is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Abstract | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view468 of 492 launches | Without the breakout491 of 492 launches | Last 18 months290 of 492 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 49211 hits | 46810 hits | 49110 hits | 2909 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 | 2.1 in 1001 in 48 | 2.0 in 1001 in 50 | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $424top tenth $8,210+ | $425 | $421 | $606 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -4.5%0.1 fewer in 100 | -9.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | +40.9%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | -0.7%$3 less | +42.9%$182 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Abstract, 6 to 30 months old: 492 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 492 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mycopunk (19.3% of the money): 491 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 290 of 492.
Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,023 of 5,285 launches | Without the breakout5,284 of 5,285 launches | Last 18 months3,070 of 5,285 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,285435 hits | 5,023411 hits | 5,284434 hits | 3,070225 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $982top tenth $69,988+ | $1,012 | $982 | $971 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -11.0%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.1%$30 more | 0.0%no change | -1.1%$11 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 5,285 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 262 of 5,285 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (15.4% of the money): 5,284 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,070 of 5,285.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Abstract + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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