Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Cartoon + Simulation
Cartoon + Simulation
Games tagged both Cartoon and Simulation: 136 indie paid launches, 9 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Cartoon + Simulation priced $10 to $20, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Cartoon and trails Simulation; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Cartoon + Simulation trails both its tags: 2 of its 27 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.1 in 100 for Cartoon and 21.5 in 100 for Simulation.
Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures. Small sample: 27 launches, 2 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 27 games tagged both Cartoon and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 7.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 19.7 for Cartoon-only games and 21.9 for Simulation-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 27 games priced $10 to $20; 7.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 14), typical first-year earnings $2,732.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 27 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Cartoon + Simulation is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view125 of 136 launches | Without the breakout135 of 136 launches | Last 18 months87 of 136 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1369 hits | 1258 hits | 1358 hits | 874 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $445top tenth $60,059+ | $485 | $425 | $425 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.0%0.2 fewer in 100 | -10.6%0.7 fewer in 100 | -30.3%2.0 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +9.0%$40 more | -4.5%$20 less | -4.5%$20 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Cartoon and Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 136 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 11 of 136 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Starsand Island (61.0% of the money): 135 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 87 of 136.
Cartoon holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Cartoon | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view777 of 826 launches | Without the breakout825 of 826 launches | Last 18 months430 of 826 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 82628 hits | 77725 hits | 82527 hits | 43013 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $303top tenth $18,611+ | $303 | $303 | $282 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -5.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -11.8%0.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -6.9%$21 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Cartoon, 6 to 30 months old: 826 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 49 of 826 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Starsand Island (21.2% of the money): 825 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 430 of 826.
Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,023 of 5,285 launches | Without the breakout5,284 of 5,285 launches | Last 18 months3,070 of 5,285 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,285435 hits | 5,023411 hits | 5,284434 hits | 3,070225 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $982top tenth $69,988+ | $1,012 | $982 | $971 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -11.0%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.1%$30 more | 0.0%no change | -1.1%$11 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 5,285 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 262 of 5,285 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (15.4% of the money): 5,284 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,070 of 5,285.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Cartoon + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.