Niche

Choices Matter + Simulation

Games tagged both Choices Matter and Simulation: 216 indie paid launches, 21 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 30+ launches Reset

Showing Choices Matter + Simulation priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Choices Matter + Simulation beats both its tags: 28.8 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 20.1 in 100 for Choices Matter and 21.5 in 100 for Simulation.

That is about 1.5 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

3RDThird

Tag onemood tagChoices Matter

20.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds20.1 in 100

Typical earnings$13,111

Launches284 / 57 hits

Pair leads by8.7 in 100

1STWinner

This pairChoices Matter + Simulation

28.8in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds28.8 in 100

Typical earnings$20,945

Launches52 / 15 hits

Expected18.6 in 100

2NDRunner-up

Tag twoSimulation

21.5in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds21.5 in 100

Typical earnings$14,573

Launches1,006 / 216 hits

Pair leads by7.3 in 100

All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Choices Matter is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices216 in pair Under $583 in pair $5 to $1068 in pair $10 to $2052 in pair $20 to $4013 in pair

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 52 games tagged both Choices Matter and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 28.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 18.1 for Choices Matter-only games and 21.1 for Simulation-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.

Both: 52 games priced $10 to $20; 28.8 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $20,945.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 52 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Quarantine Zone: The Last Checkleads this pair28.1%

PairQuarantine Zone: The Last Check28.1%

Choices MatterLegend of Mortal10.7%

SimulationSchedule I15.4%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Choices Matter + Simulation

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Quarantine Zone: The Last Check earned 28.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 216 Choices Matter + Simulation launches.
Choices Matter is led by Legend of Mortal, with 10.7% of its money.
Simulation is led by Schedule I, with 15.4% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Choices Matter + Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Choices Matter + Simulation through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view205 of 216 launches	Without the breakout215 of 216 launches	Last 18 months124 of 216 launches
Launches counted	21621 hits	20518 hits	21520 hits	12410 hits
Earned $100k+	9.7 in 1001 in 10	8.8 in 1001 in 11	9.3 in 1001 in 11	8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings	$1,982top tenth $99,328+	$1,821	$1,945	$1,617
Chance against standard	the yardstick	-9.3%0.9 fewer in 100	-4.1%0.4 fewer in 100	-16.5%1.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the yardstick	-8.1%$161 less	-1.9%$37 less	-18.4%$365 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Choices Matter and Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 216 launches.

Launches counted: 21621 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.7 in 1001 in 10
Typical first-year earnings: $1,982top tenth $99,328+
Chance against standard: the yardstick
Typical against standard: the yardstick

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 11 of 216 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 20518 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,821
Chance against standard: -9.3%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -8.1%$161 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Quarantine Zone: The Last Check (28.1% of the money): 215 launches left.

Launches counted: 21520 hits
Earned $100k+: 9.3 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings: $1,945
Chance against standard: -4.1%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.9%$37 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 124 of 216.

Launches counted: 12410 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,617
Chance against standard: -16.5%1.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -18.4%$365 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Choices Matter and Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 216 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 11 of 216 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Quarantine Zone: The Last Check (28.1% of the money): 215 launches left.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 124 of 216.

Choices Matter is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

Choices Matter through every lens, all prices
Choices Matter	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view1,292 of 1,354 launches	Without the breakout1,353 of 1,354 launches	Last 18 months780 of 1,354 launches
Launches counted	1,354106 hits	1,29294 hits	1,353105 hits	78045 hits
Earned $100k+	7.8 in 1001 in 13	7.3 in 1001 in 14	7.8 in 1001 in 13	5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings	$1,048top tenth $65,378+	$1,029	$1,029	$709
Chance against standard	the yardstick	-6.4%0.5 fewer in 100	0.0%no change	-25.6%2.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the yardstick	-1.8%$19 less	-1.8%$19 less	-32.3%$339 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Choices Matter, 6 to 30 months old: 1,354 launches.

Launches counted: 1,354106 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,048top tenth $65,378+
Chance against standard: the yardstick
Typical against standard: the yardstick

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 62 of 1,354 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 1,29294 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $1,029
Chance against standard: -6.4%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.8%$19 less

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (10.7% of the money): 1,353 launches left.

Launches counted: 1,353105 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.8 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $1,029
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: -1.8%$19 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 780 of 1,354.

Launches counted: 78045 hits
Earned $100k+: 5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $709
Chance against standard: -25.6%2.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -32.3%$339 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Choices Matter, 6 to 30 months old: 1,354 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 62 of 1,354 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (10.7% of the money): 1,353 launches left.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 780 of 1,354.

Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Simulation through every lens, all prices
Simulation	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view5,023 of 5,285 launches	Without the breakout5,284 of 5,285 launches	Last 18 months3,070 of 5,285 launches
Launches counted	5,285435 hits	5,023411 hits	5,284434 hits	3,070225 hits
Earned $100k+	8.2 in 1001 in 12	8.2 in 1001 in 12	8.2 in 1001 in 12	7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings	$982top tenth $69,988+	$1,012	$982	$971
Chance against standard	the yardstick	0.0%no change	0.0%no change	-11.0%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the yardstick	+3.1%$30 more	0.0%no change	-1.1%$11 less
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 5,285 launches.

Launches counted: 5,285435 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.2 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $982top tenth $69,988+
Chance against standard: the yardstick
Typical against standard: the yardstick

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 262 of 5,285 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 5,023411 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.2 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $1,012
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: +3.1%$30 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (15.4% of the money): 5,284 launches left.

Launches counted: 5,284434 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.2 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $982
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,070 of 5,285.

Launches counted: 3,070225 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $971
Chance against standard: -11.0%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -1.1%$11 less

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 5,285 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 262 of 5,285 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (15.4% of the money): 5,284 launches left.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,070 of 5,285.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Choices Matter + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.