Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Difficult + Cute: a typical launch earns $1,092 in its first year
That is the median of 57 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 6 of 98 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 15% on the year before: 51 against 60.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $1,092 median of 57 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −46.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 51 60 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 120 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 524 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.09%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.04% to 0.12% | 9 ranked of 120 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,891 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.11xhits against expected | 0.76x to 1.75x | 98 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,162 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +59%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +15% to +115% | 23 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #116 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +1%review growth against same-age games | −12% to +16% | 23 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #768 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 98
- Hit rate
- 6.1%3.5% to 14.4%
- Expected rate
- 5.2%
- Against expected
- 1.11x0.76x to 1.75x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
98 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $55
- Median
- $1,213
- Top tenth
- $46,802
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −15%
- Against Steam
- −36%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Rabbit and Steel (opens the Steam store)2024 · 10,195 reviews, 96% positiveest. $2.9M
- Ratopia (opens the Steam store)2023 · 4,650 reviews, 87% positiveest. $1.8M
- Pepper Grinder (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,118 reviews, 85% positiveest. $339k
- TETRIS® THE GRAND MASTER 4 -ABSOLUTE EYE- (opens the Steam store)2025 · 615 reviews, 87% positiveest. $311k
- Epic Auto Towers (opens the Steam store)2024 · 769 reviews, 70% positiveest. $233k
- Windswept (opens the Steam store)2025 · 474 reviews, 92% positiveest. $192k
- Maxwell's puzzling demon (opens the Steam store)2024 · 416 reviews, 98% positiveest. $126k
- Bat to the Heavens (opens the Steam store)2024 · 409 reviews, 95% positiveest. $124k
More with Difficult
pairs with Difficult- RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Difficult$3,64173 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Roguelite + Difficult$3,03570 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Action Roguelike$2,42672 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Souls-like$2,12341 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Difficult + Bullet Hell$2,12150 launches priced, 58 releases in 12 months
More with Cute
pairs with Cute- Open World + Cute$5,88634 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Romance$5,22277 launches priced, 90 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Cute$3,396163 launches priced, 188 releases in 12 months
- Cute + LGBTQ+$2,97434 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Cute$2,84651 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Cute$2,798212 launches priced, 288 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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