Niche

Emotional + Simulation

Games tagged both Emotional and Simulation: 74 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 17 hit $100k+Under $51 in 219 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 30 hit $100k+$10 to $2018 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4040 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,280 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5 30+ launches Reset

Showing Emotional + Simulation priced under $5, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Emotional and is about level with Simulation; priced under $5 it is too small to compare with Emotional and is too small to compare with Simulation.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Emotional + Simulation is too small to compare with Emotional and is too small to compare with Simulation: 1 of its 41 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 2 of 265 launches for Emotional and 1.1 in 100 for Simulation.

Small sample: 41 launches, 1 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag onemood tagEmotional

2 of 265launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds2 of 265 launches

Typical earnings$383

Launches265 / 2 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairEmotional + Simulation

1 of 41launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds1 of 41 launches

Typical earnings$498

Launches41 / 1 hits

Expected0.5 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoSimulation

1.1in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 94

Typical earnings$229

Launches2,157 / 23 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.5 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 219), typical $169, from 13,780 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Emotional is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices74 in pair Under $541 in pair $5 to $1022 in pair$10 to $209: too few$20 to $402: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 41 games tagged both Emotional and Simulation priced under $5. 1 of 41 of them earned $100k+, against 1 of 224 for Emotional-only games and 1.0 in 100 for Simulation-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Emotional alone and is too small to compare with Simulation alone.

Both: 41 games priced under $5; 1 of 41 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $498.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 41 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Hollywood Animalleads this pair41.6%

PairHollywood Animal41.6%

EmotionalDELTARUNE66.1%

SimulationSchedule I17.6%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Emotional + Simulation

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Hollywood Animal earned 41.6% of the estimated first-year money of the 74 Emotional + Simulation launches.
Emotional is led by DELTARUNE, with 66.1% of its money.
Simulation is led by Schedule I, with 17.6% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Emotional + Simulation holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Emotional + Simulation through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view59 of 74 launches	Without the breakout73 of 74 launches	Last 18 months23 of 74 launches
Launches counted	745 hits	594 hits	734 hits	233 hits
Earned $100k+	6.8 in 1001 in 15	4 of 59too few for a rate	4 of 73too few for a rate	3 of 23too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings	$1,490top tenth $30,668+	$1,483	$1,483	$1,834
Chance against standard	the base	+0.3%no change; too few to tell	-18.9%1.3 fewer in 100	+93.0%6.3 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard	the base	-0.5%$7 less; too few to tell	-0.5%$7 less	+23.1%$344 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Too few to tell

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Emotional and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 74 launches.

Launches counted: 745 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $1,490top tenth $30,668+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 15 of 74 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 594 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 59too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,483
Chance against standard: +0.3%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: -0.5%$7 less; too few to tell

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hollywood Animal (41.6% of the money): 73 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 734 hits
Earned $100k+: 4 of 73too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,483
Chance against standard: -18.9%1.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.5%$7 less

Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 23 of 74.

Launches counted: 233 hits
Earned $100k+: 3 of 23too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings: $1,834
Chance against standard: +93.0%6.3 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard: +23.1%$344 more; too few to tell

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both Emotional and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 74 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 15 of 74 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Hollywood Animal (41.6% of the money): 73 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 23 of 74.

Emotional is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in West-facing view.

Emotional through every lens, all prices
Emotional	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view499 of 552 launches	Without the breakout551 of 552 launches	Last 18 months164 of 552 launches
Launches counted	55235 hits	49930 hits	55134 hits	16413 hits
Earned $100k+	6.3 in 1001 in 16	6.0 in 1001 in 17	6.2 in 1001 in 16	7.9 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings	$1,385top tenth $59,100+	$1,385	$1,378	$2,143
Chance against standard	the base	-5.2%0.3 fewer in 100	-2.7%0.2 fewer in 100	+25.0%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	0.0%no change	-0.5%$7 less	+54.7%$758 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Emotional, 12 to 36 months old: 552 launches.

Launches counted: 55235 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $1,385top tenth $59,100+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 53 of 552 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 49930 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings: $1,385
Chance against standard: -5.2%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (66.1% of the money): 551 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 55134 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $1,378
Chance against standard: -2.7%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -0.5%$7 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 164 of 552.

Launches counted: 16413 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.9 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings: $2,143
Chance against standard: +25.0%1.6 more in 100
Typical against standard: +54.7%$758 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Emotional, 12 to 36 months old: 552 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 53 of 552 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (66.1% of the money): 551 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 164 of 552.

Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Simulation through every lens, all prices
Simulation	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view4,193 of 4,444 launches	Without the breakout4,443 of 4,444 launches	Last 18 months1,387 of 4,444 launches
Launches counted	4,444370 hits	4,193351 hits	4,443369 hits	1,387117 hits
Earned $100k+	8.3 in 1001 in 12	8.4 in 1001 in 12	8.3 in 1001 in 12	8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings	$877top tenth $69,001+	$941	$876	$956
Chance against standard	the base	+0.5%no change	-0.2%no change	+1.3%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+7.3%$64 more	-0.1%$1 less	+9.0%$79 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,444 launches.

Launches counted: 4,444370 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $877top tenth $69,001+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,444 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 4,193351 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $941
Chance against standard: +0.5%no change
Typical against standard: +7.3%$64 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.6% of the money): 4,443 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 4,443369 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $876
Chance against standard: -0.2%no change
Typical against standard: -0.1%$1 less

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,387 of 4,444.

Launches counted: 1,387117 hits
Earned $100k+: 8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings: $956
Chance against standard: +1.3%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard: +9.0%$79 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,444 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,444 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.6% of the money): 4,443 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,387 of 4,444.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Emotional + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.