Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Historical + Strategy
Historical + Strategy
Games tagged both Historical and Strategy: 153 indie paid launches, 21 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Historical + Strategy priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Historical and beats Strategy; priced $10 to $20 it trails Historical and is about level with Strategy.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Historical + Strategy trails Historical and is about level with Strategy: 17.5 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 26.0 in 100 for Historical and 18.8 in 100 for Strategy.
That is about 0.9 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 40 games tagged both Historical and Strategy priced $10 to $20. 17.5 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 31.3 in 100 for Historical-only games and 18.9 in 100 for Strategy-only games, so the mix trails Historical alone and is about level with Strategy alone.
Both: 40 games priced $10 to $20; 17.5 in 100 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 100 in 100 · $10k+ 55 in 100 · $100k+ 18 in 100.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 40 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Historical + Strategy is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view139 of 153 launches | Without the breakout152 of 153 launches | Last 18 months42 of 153 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 15321 hits | 13921 hits | 15220 hits | 427 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 13.7 in 100 | 15.1 in 100 | 13.2 in 100 | 16.7 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $3,929top tenth $185,560+ | $3,929 | $3,929 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +10.1%1.4 more in 100 | -4.1%0.6 fewer in 100 | +21.4%2.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Historical and Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 153 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 14 of 153 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (78.7% of the money): 152 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 42 of 153.
Historical is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.
| Historical | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view378 of 425 launches | Without the breakout424 of 425 launches | Last 18 months106 of 425 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 42553 hits | 37847 hits | 42452 hits | 10612 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 12.5 in 100 | 12.4 in 100 | 12.3 in 100 | 11.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,124top tenth $185,560+ | $2,054 | $2,124 | $2,054 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.3%no change | -1.7%0.2 fewer in 100 | -9.2%1.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -3.3%$70 less | 0.0%no change | -3.3%$70 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Historical, 12 to 36 months old: 425 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 47 of 425 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (63.2% of the money): 424 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 106 of 425.
Strategy holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Strategy | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,307 of 4,688 launches | Without the breakout4,687 of 4,688 launches | Last 18 months1,459 of 4,688 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,688325 hits | 4,307297 hits | 4,687324 hits | 1,459107 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 6.9 in 1001 in 15 | 6.9 in 1001 in 14 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $439top tenth $49,022+ | $496 | $439 | $521 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.5%no change | -0.3%no change | +5.8%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +13.0%$57 more | 0.0%no change | +18.7%$82 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Strategy, 12 to 36 months old: 4,688 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 381 of 4,688 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (15.2% of the money): 4,687 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,459 of 4,688.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Historical + Strategy moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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