Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Horror + Simulation
Horror + Simulation
Games tagged both Horror and Simulation: 422 indie paid launches, 24 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Horror + Simulation priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Horror and is about level with Simulation; priced $10 to $20 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Horror + Simulation beats both its tags: 34.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 19.1 in 100 for Horror and 20.9 in 100 for Simulation.
That is about 2.0 times the 17.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 32 games tagged both Horror and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 34.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.6 in 100 for Horror-only games and 20.4 in 100 for Simulation-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 32 games priced $10 to $20; 34.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $38,003.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 32 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Horror + Simulation is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view and Last 18 months.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view394 of 422 launches | Without the breakout421 of 422 launches | Last 18 months127 of 422 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 42224 hits | 39422 hits | 42123 hits | 1273 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 3 of 127too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,148top tenth $38,003+ | $1,267 | $1,148 | $1,070 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | -3.9%0.2 fewer in 100 | -58.5%3.3 fewer in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +10.4%$119 more | 0.0%no change | -6.8%$78 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Horror and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 422 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 28 of 422 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Bodycam (59.4% of the money): 421 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 127 of 422.
Horror holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Horror | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,989 of 3,137 launches | Without the breakout3,136 of 3,137 launches | Last 18 months883 of 3,137 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 3,137173 hits | 2,989168 hits | 3,136172 hits | 88346 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,010top tenth $33,268+ | $1,021 | $1,010 | $918 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +1.9%0.1 more in 100 | -0.5%no change | -5.5%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +1.1%$11 more | 0.0%no change | -9.1%$92 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Horror, 12 to 36 months old: 3,137 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 148 of 3,137 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Lethal Company (20.0% of the money): 3,136 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 883 of 3,137.
Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view4,193 of 4,444 launches | Without the breakout4,443 of 4,444 launches | Last 18 months1,387 of 4,444 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,444370 hits | 4,193351 hits | 4,443369 hits | 1,387117 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $877top tenth $69,001+ | $941 | $876 | $956 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +0.5%no change | -0.2%no change | +1.3%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +7.3%$64 more | -0.1%$1 less | +9.0%$79 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,444 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,444 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.6% of the money): 4,443 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,387 of 4,444.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Horror + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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