Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Magic + Cute: a typical launch earns $909 in its first year
That is the median of 37 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 3 of 70 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases held level on the year before: 46 against 46.
- Price
- $909 median of 37 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −25.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 46 46 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 128 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 382 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.03%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.04% | 11 ranked of 128 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #3,108 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.71xhits against expected | 0.50x to 1.21x | 70 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,651 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 70
- Hit rate
- 4.3%1.1% to 8.5%
- Expected rate
- 7.7%
- Against expected
- 0.71x0.50x to 1.21x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
70 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $556
- Top tenth
- $16,880
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- 0%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Cavern of Dreams (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,195 reviews, 94% positiveest. $314k
- Witchy Business (opens the Steam store)2025 · 880 reviews, 86% positiveest. $267k
- HYKE:Northern Light(s) (opens the Steam store)2025 · 247 reviews, 72% positiveest. $140k
- Potions: A Curious Tale (opens the Steam store)2024 · 334 reviews, 89% positiveest. $135k
- Magical Delicacy (opens the Steam store)2024 · 240 reviews, 77% positiveest. $121k
- Night Stones (opens the Steam store)2024 · 263 reviews, 92% positiveest. $53k
- Heartspell: Horizon Academy (opens the Steam store)2025 · 116 reviews, 96% positiveest. $47k
- Alchemist: Journey of the Soul (opens the Steam store)2026 · 164 reviews, 82% positiveest. $40k
More with Magic
pairs with Magic- Story Rich + Magic$3,23836 launches priced, 32 releases in 12 months
- Magic + Female Protagonist$3,07630 launches priced, 19 releases in 12 months
- Magic + Action Roguelike$1,70732 launches priced, 52 releases in 12 months
- Magic + Colorful$1,66832 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Magic$1,37576 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
- Fantasy + Magic$1,214137 launches priced, 217 releases in 12 months
More with Cute
pairs with Cute- Open World + Cute$5,88634 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Romance$5,22277 launches priced, 90 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Cute$3,396163 launches priced, 188 releases in 12 months
- Cute + LGBTQ+$2,97434 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Psychological Horror + Cute$2,84651 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Cute$2,798212 launches priced, 288 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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