Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Sports + PvP: a typical launch earns $928 in its first year
That is the median of 76 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 13 of 157 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 17.4 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 49% on the year before: 150 against 101.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $928 median of 76 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −23.4% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 150 101 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 281 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 906 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.14%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.07% to 0.23% | 19 ranked of 281 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,409 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.79xhits against expected | 0.56x to 1.12x | 157 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,190 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | −20%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −37% to +3% | 73 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,001 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −14%review growth against same-age games | −24% to −3% | 73 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,441 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 157
- Hit rate
- 8.3%5.7% to 13.7%
- Expected rate
- 11.1%
- Against expected
- 0.79x0.56x to 1.12x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
157 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $808
- Top tenth
- $63,440
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +49%
- Against Steam
- +8%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- REMATCH (opens the Steam store)2025 · 40,975 reviews, 70% positiveest. $25M
- Le Mans Ultimate (opens the Steam store)2024 · 15,337 reviews, 79% positiveest. $12M
- CarX Street (opens the Steam store)2024 · 17,715 reviews, 72% positiveest. $7.2M
- Backyard Baseball (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,264 reviews, 80% positiveest. $1M
- MotoGP™24 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,001 reviews, 83% positiveest. $811k
- TopSpin 2K25 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,047 reviews, 57% positiveest. $786k
- Beastieball (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,494 reviews, 97% positiveest. $756k
- Super Woden: Rally Edge (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,565 reviews, 96% positiveest. $412k
More with Sports
pairs with Sports- Sports + Management$5,80333 launches priced, 98 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Sports$2,42899 launches priced, 158 releases in 12 months
- Sports + Driving$1,82042 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Sports$1,819193 launches priced, 336 releases in 12 months
- Sports + Realistic$1,80150 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Sports$1,79496 launches priced, 67 releases in 12 months
More with PvP
pairs with PvP- RPG + PvP$1,53738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Funny$1,11269 launches priced, 197 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Party Game$1,11243 launches priced, 282 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Cute$90972 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + PvP$81051 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
- Card Game + PvP$80934 launches priced, 135 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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