Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Science + Simulation
Science + Simulation
Games tagged both Science and Simulation: 45 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Science + Simulation priced $10 to $20, west-facing view. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Science + Simulation trails both its tags: 3 of its 16 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 7 of 29 launches for Science and 21.5 in 100 for Simulation.
Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures. Small sample: 16 launches, 3 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 16 games tagged both Science and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 18.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 30.8 for Science-only games and 21.5 for Simulation-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 16 games priced $10 to $20; 18.8 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $30,765.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 16 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The west-facing view lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Science + Simulation is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view44 of 45 launches | Without the breakout44 of 45 launches | Last 18 months24 of 45 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 455 hits | 445 hits | 444 hits | 244 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 11.1 in 100 | 11.4 in 100 | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 16.7 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $808top tenth $121,844+ | $911 | $808 | $2,526 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.7%0.3 more in 100 | -18.0%2.0 fewer in 100 | +50.5%5.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +12.7%$103 more | 0.0%no change | +212.6%$1,718 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Science and Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 45 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 45 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, OUTBRK (45.4% of the money): 44 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 24 of 45.
Science holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Science | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view124 of 127 launches | Without the breakout126 of 127 launches | Last 18 months74 of 127 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 12710 hits | 12410 hits | 1269 hits | 747 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 | 7.1 in 1001 in 14 | 9.5 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $505top tenth $61,124+ | $505 | $505 | $425 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.5%0.2 more in 100 | -10.1%0.8 fewer in 100 | +20.3%1.6 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -15.8%$80 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Science, 6 to 30 months old: 127 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 127 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, OUTBRK (35.0% of the money): 126 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 74 of 127.
Simulation holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Simulation | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,023 of 5,285 launches | Without the breakout5,284 of 5,285 launches | Last 18 months3,070 of 5,285 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,285435 hits | 5,023411 hits | 5,284434 hits | 3,070225 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 8.2 in 1001 in 12 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $982top tenth $69,988+ | $1,012 | $982 | $971 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -11.0%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.1%$30 more | 0.0%no change | -1.1%$11 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 6 to 30 months old: 5,285 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 262 of 5,285 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (15.4% of the money): 5,284 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,070 of 5,285.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Science + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.