Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Simulation / Flight
Simulation + Flight: a typical launch earns $304 in its first year
That is the median of 61 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 9 of 117 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 10.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 22% on the year before: 84 against 69.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $304 median of 61 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −85.7% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 84 69 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 215 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 828 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.29%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.19% to 0.44% | 33 ranked of 215 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #791 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.88xhits against expected | 0.61x to 1.31x | 117 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,555 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +35%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +1% to +64% | 27 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #387 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +20%review growth against same-age games | +11% to +28% | 27 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #34 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 117
- Hit rate
- 7.7%3.1% to 11.6%
- Expected rate
- 9.1%
- Against expected
- 0.88x0.61x to 1.31x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
117 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $443
- Top tenth
- $40,904
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +22%
- Against Steam
- −11%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- SimulationGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- FlightGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Nuclear Option (opens the Steam store)2023 · 10,455 reviews, 95% positiveest. $4.2M
- Aviassembly (opens the Steam store)2025 · 9,383 reviews, 96% positiveest. $1.9M
- FPV Kamikaze Drone (opens the Steam store)2023 · 12,247 reviews, 86% positiveest. $1.5M
- AirportSim (opens the Steam store)2023 · 1,417 reviews, 67% positiveest. $1M
- Flyout (opens the Steam store)2023 · 2,148 reviews, 83% positiveest. $870k
- Aces of Thunder (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,174 reviews, 57% positiveest. $713k
- Approximately Up (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,038 reviews, 93% positiveest. $525k
- Ukrainian Fight Drone Simulator (UFDS) - FPV drone simulator (opens the Steam store)2025 · 822 reviews, 80% positiveest. $499k
More with Simulation
pairs with Simulation- Simulation + Shop Keeper$32,26936 launches priced, 330 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Cozy$15,70676 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Online Co-Op$11,02868 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Multiplayer$8,980122 launches priced, 253 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Base Building$7,38289 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Economy$6,979210 launches priced, 540 releases in 12 months
More with Flight
pairs with Flight- Action + Flight$24265 launches priced, 127 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Flight$20268 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
- Arcade + Flight$16260 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Flight$12153 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Flight$12131 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Flight$12137 launches priced, 54 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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