Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Sports + Colorful: a typical launch earns $1,214 in its first year
That is the median of 71 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 120 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 12% on the year before: 73 against 83.
- Price
- $1,214 median of 71 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +100.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 73 83 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 125 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 491 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.02%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.01% to 0.04% | 6 ranked of 125 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #6,913 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.63xhits against expected | 0.43x to 1.05x | 120 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,117 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 120
- Hit rate
- 3.3%1.6% to 8.6%
- Expected rate
- 6.8%
- Against expected
- 0.63x0.43x to 1.05x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
120 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $990
- Top tenth
- $16,445
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −12%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Backyard Baseball '97 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,241 reviews, 97% positiveest. $453k
- Formula Legends (opens the Steam store)2025 · 875 reviews, 82% positiveest. $354k
- Super Woden GP 2 (opens the Steam store)2023 · 989 reviews, 88% positiveest. $260k
- Rollout Inline (opens the Steam store)2026 · 397 reviews, 95% positiveest. $153k
- Backyard Baseball '01 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 667 reviews, 92% positiveest. $135k
- Streetdog BMX (opens the Steam store)2026 · 199 reviews, 94% positiveest. $101k
- Runeblade Automaton (opens the Steam store)2025 · 94 reviews, 95% positiveest. $76k
- Tricky Madness (opens the Steam store)2024 · 415 reviews, 95% positiveest. $67k
More with Sports
pairs with Sports- Sports + Management$5,80333 launches priced, 98 releases in 12 months
- Strategy + Sports$2,42899 launches priced, 158 releases in 12 months
- Sports + Driving$1,82042 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Sports$1,819193 launches priced, 336 releases in 12 months
- Sports + Realistic$1,80150 launches priced, 84 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Sports$1,79496 launches priced, 67 releases in 12 months
More with Colorful
pairs with Colorful- Colorful + Cozy$3,63859 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Colorful$3,39962 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Colorful$2,68975 launches priced, 112 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Emotional$2,00335 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Life Sim$1,85851 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Magic + Colorful$1,66832 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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